Energy

Good afternoon. Below is the midday report, highlighting changes in model guidance this morning. We continue to monitor a volatile pattern in the 11-15 day, and after warming tremendously overnight, American guidance has once again cooled. This is a testament to how volatile the pattern really is. Have a great afternoon.…

Good morning! Below is the latest edition of the editors notes, which analyze the disparity in guidance during the 11-15 day period. If you have any questions, please reach out! Have a great morning and the midday update will be out by 1:15 PM. ~Ed

Good afternoon. Below is the midday energy report highlighting changes in midday guidance. Have a great day! ~Ed

Below is the latest edition of the energy notes highlighting the latest European weeklies that came out last evening. Overall a warm February regime continues, trending slightly cooler to end the month and start March, particularly in the Southwest and perhaps New England. The midday report will be out around…

Good morning. A strong Pacific Jet continues to lead to a a very warm pattern across the lower 48. This looks to continue through much of the next 2 weeks, with only a few small exceptions. Here's a look at the jet stream over the Pacific compared to normal. Notice…

Good afternoon. Below is the midday report highlighting midday changes in guidance. Have a great afternoon! ~Ed

Good morning. This morning's edition of the energy notes features additional information regarding the 16-30 day period. There are many questions with how the pattern will evolve, but a trend toward colder appears the most likely outcome as we progress toward the turn of the month. There remains many risks…

Good morning. A stormy pattern this week will lead to variability across the northern tier in week 1. Here's the European ensemble daily temperature anomaly forecast.  However, when looking at the aggregate weekly temperature departures, warmth will outweigh cold for most areas outside the northern Plains. This is supported by…