Energy

Good Evening!  Here is your latest European Weekly Analysis.  Have a blessed day!  -Matt HD Link (11-14-19 EWA) Newest European Weeklies came in warm for weeks 3, 4, and 5.  This seems to be a common theme for the EPS weekly as it consistently hints at a warm week 3, 4, and 5.  As stated from our previous reports, we are anticipating a colder than normal December and do not agree with the EPS weeklies.  Our research continues to suggest that we should see increased midlatitude blocking and therefore colder temperatures across the eastern US.  Our thoughts on a colder…

Today's video: https://youtu.be/NeS8EZgAcVc PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 11-14-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Quiet pattern for much of the CONUS in the week 1 period.  We anticipate the further into week 2 we go the more potent impacts from the –NAO will become. This is one of the reasons we remain much cooler than the EPS. With the MJO working back into 8-1-2 and slowing, we believe the –AAM will become a bigger influencer with cooler risks in the NE. Major differences for both temperatures and precipitation in week 2. We believe the EPS…

Today's video: https://youtu.be/iXwuzGgTXV0 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 11-13-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Widespread record cold again this morning – many stations breaking all time November cold records. Warmer risks in week 2 look to be rather transient. Initially some warmth is possible in the Central US (strong Pacific Jet/MJO Phase 8) with cooler risks behind storm systems. We anticipate the further into week 2 we go for a more potent –NAO to become likely. For this reason we have cooled more of the Midwest for week 2.  With the MJO working back into…