7-18-19 Long-range: Pattern evolution thoughts ahead remain consistent – Short-term heat, big cool shot next week…up-and-down first half of August? K.

7-18-19 Long-range: Pattern evolution thoughts ahead remain consistent – Short-term heat, big cool shot next week…up-and-down first half of August? K.

***No updated video analysis today, we've evaluated the latest research and have verified our thoughts of the pattern ahead are consistent to what we've mentioned all week. We will have an updated video Friday for our updated week's 3/4 forecast and August pattern evolution as a whole. Have a blessed day! -Kirk PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): Link: 7-18-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Excessive Heat Warnings from the Plains to the Ohio Valley and even in the Northeast through the weekend. Cold front Sunday has sped up and will allow for cooler and drier risks for…
Read More
7-18-19 Early AM Energy Report: Latest details on risks, favored pattern into August. B.

7-18-19 Early AM Energy Report: Latest details on risks, favored pattern into August. B.

Good morning!  Here is your AM Energy Report!  Have a blessed day!  ~Bret PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): 7-18 AM Energy Check-Up We continue to lose points in the week 1 period as we take out some of the previous high cooling demand days and add on days with lower cooling demand behind the cold front that will push into the Eastern US next week. In the coming days cooling demand for week 1 will continue to drop as we work past the excessive heat ongoing in the Eastern and Central portions of the CONUS. Data…
Read More
7-17-19 PM Energy Check-up: Still looking to cool things down next week after this short-term heat…warm return early August? K.

7-17-19 PM Energy Check-up: Still looking to cool things down next week after this short-term heat…warm return early August? K.

Your PM energy check up and official analysis is below. Have a blessed day! -Kirk ***The GEFS of GFS solutions are not direct representations of our forecast thoughts ahead...please refer to the text analysis and official long-range outlooks / discussion in the long-range update. Week 1: Another day where we don’t see a lot of disagreement in the GEFS solution ahead other than we think it’s still a touch too cool vs reality regarding the national cooling demand potential and the anomalies across the central US. The EPS has been verifying much closer recently and matches our temperature evolution dates…
Read More
7-17-19 Long-range: Cooler risks next week…hotter risks into August…details here. M.

7-17-19 Long-range: Cooler risks next week…hotter risks into August…details here. M.

Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DTR6Johj4b0&feature=youtu.be PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): Link: 7-17-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Some storms cluster risks as the ridge builds are increasing in portions of Iowa, the Northern Plains and Upper-Midwest with a cluster ongoing SE SD this morning diving SE. Heat really builds later this week with drier risks under the ridge in the Central Plains. Some northwest flow will develop as the ridge retracts early next week and brings a storm threat as a cold front moves through. We continue to watch for a cool-down in the pattern beginning early next week…
Read More
7-17-19 Early AM Energy Report: Excessive heat to close this week, cooler weather returns next week. B.

7-17-19 Early AM Energy Report: Excessive heat to close this week, cooler weather returns next week. B.

Good morning!  Here is your AM Energy Report!  Have a blessed day!  ~Bret PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): 7-17 AM Energy Report The week 1 period continues to steadily lose points as we lose some of the warmer days and build in some days that are going to be dropping in CDDs ahead of a cooler stretch of weather beginning next week. Meanwhile, there are widespread excessive heat watches and warnings across the Plains, Midwest and Ohio Valley with heat advisories down into the Ark-La-Tex region combining for major cooling demand late this week and this…
Read More
7-16-19 PM Energy Check-up: Slight warmer changes today closer to the Euro solution. K.

7-16-19 PM Energy Check-up: Slight warmer changes today closer to the Euro solution. K.

Your PM energy check up and official analysis is below. Have a blessed day! -Kirk ***The GEFS of GFS solutions are not direct representations of our forecast thoughts ahead...please refer to the text analysis and official long-range outlooks / discussion in the long-range update. Week 1: No disagreeable changes on today’s 12z GEFS, in fact, the slightly warmer changes towards our warmer forecast make much sense are in closer to the Euro solution regarding cooling demand ahead. For week 1 we still largely favor more vs the American data as we think the GFS is still slightly too quick on…
Read More
7-16-19 Long-range: A lot of ups-and-downs the next few weeks…details here. M.

7-16-19 Long-range: A lot of ups-and-downs the next few weeks…details here. M.

Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ex-ZhpxKmtA&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): Link: 7-16-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Some storms cluster risks as the ridge builds are increasing in portions of Iowa and Nebraska with rain ongoing in some areas this morning.  Heat really builds later this week with drier risks under the ridge in the Central Plains. Some northwest flow will develop as the ridge retracts early next week and brings some storm cluster risks into the Midwest and Eastern Plains.  We continue to watch for a cool-down in the pattern in week 2 related to a strongly –SOI…
Read More
7-16-19 Early AM Energy Report: Discussing week 1 heat and data seeing cooler stretch in week 2. B.

7-16-19 Early AM Energy Report: Discussing week 1 heat and data seeing cooler stretch in week 2. B.

Good morning!  Here is your AM Energy Report!  Have a blessed day!  ~Bret PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): 7-16 AM Energy Check-Up We continue to see much above normal CDDs in the week 1 period – though yesterday seems to have been the peak of cooling demand for a 7 day period. With that being said some of the hottest days are still ahead later this week and a few areas could be rivaling records. We continue to lean on the warmer side of data in the week 1 period mainly because of this recent dry…
Read More
7-15-19 PM Energy Check-up: Spiking cooling demand ahead over the next 7-10 days…eyeing a pullback in demand in the extended. K.

7-15-19 PM Energy Check-up: Spiking cooling demand ahead over the next 7-10 days…eyeing a pullback in demand in the extended. K.

Your PM energy check up and official analysis is below. Have a blessed day! -Kirk ***The GEFS of GFS solutions are not direct representations of our forecast thoughts ahead...please refer to the text analysis and official long-range outlooks / discussion in the long-range update. Week 1: Warmer changes noted in the 5-10 day timeframe from today’s 12z GEFS, most notably because, per our research, the European ensemble would be more correct in the central US ridging lingering through the 23rd to 24th across the central US. Also, the growing dryness across the Midwest and Central US will likely aid in…
Read More
7-15-19 Long-range: Intense heat expected over the next 7-10 days…brief cooler shot late month…multiple warmer signals increasing for August. K.

7-15-19 Long-range: Intense heat expected over the next 7-10 days…brief cooler shot late month…multiple warmer signals increasing for August. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/ayjtus0dVMw?hd=1 PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): Link: 7-15-15 Long-range analysis Key Points: Barry, now a tropical depression, continues to move inland and will work northward and into the Missouri and Ohio Valley. Rain amounts will be heaviest in SE Missouri into W. KY/S. IL. Lesser/more sporadic amounts into Indiana and Ohio.  Aside from Barry – drier and hot conditions will dominate much of the Ag Belt. Little to no rain for most of Kansas, Nebraska and S. Iowa the next 7 days. We will need to watch for storm cluster risks to re-develop especially…
Read More