Energy – Page 155 – BAM Weather

13

Jan

1-13-23 AM Energy Report: Cooler air bleeds into Central and Western US. Discussing East Coast warmer risks. B.

Good morning everyone, below is your latest AM Energy Report: NOTES: The overnight data generally didn't change much for HDDs, but the GEFS did trend a bit warmer late week 2 lingering East Coast warmth longer. This is a continued concern in terms of seeing above normal heating demand as the…

12

Jan

By Bret Walts

1-12-23 PM Energy Report: Warmer mid-day EPS trends. HDDs slowly rise late week 2. B.

Good afternoon everyone, below is your latest PM Energy Report: 1_12_23_PMEnergy

12

Jan

By Bret Walts

1-12-23 Long Range: Details on western/central US cold risks late week 2 and risks for snowier late Jan pattern. B.

Good Morning! Here is your Latest Long Range Report: https://youtu.be/liT0RIzsd_8 Click here for Hi-Res PDF: 1_12_23_LRPDF Intro Slide: Temperatures: Our very warm January continues with HDD’s ~80 points below the average over the next 2 weeks combined. We are on track for the 2nd lowest (warmest) January in terms of…

12

Jan

By Bret Walts

1-12-23 AM Energy Report: Colder risks increasing for Central/Western US. Latest analysis here. B.

Good morning everyone, below is your latest AM Energy Report: Notes: No major changes overnight, though both the EPS and the GEFS trended a little more towards a -EPO in the North Pacific but also lingered the southeast ridge longer. This increases the chances of Western/Central US colder air late…

11

Jan

By Bret Walts

1-11-23 PM Energy Report: Slight cooler trends on mid-day data. HDDs rising close to normal late week 2. B.

Good afternoon everyone, below is your latest PM Energy Report: 1_11_23_PMEnergy

11

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-11-23 Long Range: Forecast remains steady, warmth persists through mid-Jan.V.

Good Morning! Here is your Latest Long Range Report: *No new video today, really no changes to the thinking ahead vs. the Long Range Video discussion yesterday* Click here for Hi-Res PDF: 11123LR Intro Slide: Temperatures: Our very warm January continues with HDD's ~90 points below the average over the next 2…

11

Jan

By Bret Walts

1-11-23 AM Energy Report: Analyzing late week 2 moderation and model differences. B.

Good morning everyone, below is your latest AM Energy Report: https://soundcloud.com/user-931581162/1-11-23-amenergy/s-SfHcDkCnNkf?si=a171498db5414059abaaa9ea99e96119&utm_source=clipboard&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=social_sharing 1_11_23_AMEnergy

10

Jan

By Bret Walts

1-10-23 PM Energy Report: Data trending a bit cooler at the end of the run, but remain below normal with HDDs through week 2. B.

Good afternoon everyone, below is your latest PM Energy Report: Notes: The GEFS especially trended colder late week 2 and is trying to bring down cooler air day 15/16. The EPS generally trended warmer until the very end of the run where it also got a bit cooler. The EPS…

10

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-10-23 Long Range: Discussion of active pattern to end Jan/ start Feb.V.

Good Morning! Here is your Latest Long Range Report: https://youtu.be/hwkVPM61QfA Click here for Hi-Res PDF: 11023LR Intro Slide: Temperatures: Our very warm January continues with temps the next 2 weeks staying above average. We are on track for the 2nd lowest (warmest) January in terms of heating demand. With that…

10

Jan

By Bret Walts

1-10-23 AM Energy Report: Latest details on late week 2 forecast signals. B.

Good morning everyone, below is your latest AM Energy Report: NOTES: No substantial changes to our thoughts overnight. The GEFS got warmer at the end of the run - delaying any cooler air trying to arrive at the end of the run. We suspect data will struggle with this transition…