Agriculture – Page 313

3-20-20 Long-range: Overall pattern drivers continue to support warmth in April. Discussing where it will set up. B.

20

Mar

3-20-20 Long-range: Overall pattern drivers continue to support warmth in April. Discussing where it will set up. B.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/rekNA77AvfI?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 3-20-20 Long Range Analysis Key Points: Many places in the Ohio Valley have picked up 2”+ of rain over the past 48 hours. Additional heavy rain threats in the Deep South the next few days. The…

3-19-20 Long-range: Discussing pattern evolution over the next few weeks and planting season discussion. B.

19

Mar

By Kirk Hinz

3-19-20 Long-range: Discussing pattern evolution over the next few weeks and planting season discussion. B.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/2xauhRSx_XY?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 3-19-20 Long Range Analysis Key Points: Very active today with heavy rainfall and severe weather chances. Excessive rainfall threats in parts of the OH Valley and MS Valley. Temperatures will get very warm compared to normal…

3-18-20 Long-range: Warm pattern setting up shop in the Eastern US, data trending warmer. B.

18

Mar

By Kirk Hinz

3-18-20 Long-range: Warm pattern setting up shop in the Eastern US, data trending warmer. B.

No updated video analysis today as there are no major changes to our long-term forecasts. Please reference yesterday's video for our current thoughts going forward into April. Below you will find, however, updated notes slides. Have a blessed day! -Kirk PDF report (click link to the right to open in…

3-17-20 Long-range: Analyzing the risk for a warm April and breaking down drivers of ENSO. B.

17

Mar

By Kirk Hinz

3-17-20 Long-range: Analyzing the risk for a warm April and breaking down drivers of ENSO. B.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/QaU7oR9C27g?hd=1 PDF Report (click link to the right to open in HD): 3-17-20 Long Range Analysis Key Points: This week will be very active with heavy rainfall and potentially severe weather chances. Excessive rainfall threats will be prevalent in parts of the MS/OH Valley. Temperatures will get very…

3-16-20 Long-range: Discussing a wet week and analyzing top analogs into April. B.

16

Mar

By Kirk Hinz

3-16-20 Long-range: Discussing a wet week and analyzing top analogs into April. B.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/tJyXJljHcYk?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 3-16-20 Long Range Analysis Key Points: This week will be very active with heavy rainfall and potentially severe weather chances. Excessive rainfall threats will be prevalent in parts of the MS/OH Valley. Temperatures will get very…

15

Mar

By Vince Bryan

3-15-20 Weeks Ahead Outlook.V.

Good Sunday Afternoon! Below is your latest weeks ahead outlook: Temps: The current Week 1 has roll forwarded nicely as it looks very similar to last week’s Week 2. The combination of a –PNA, -EPO, and +NAO is leading to a warm east cool west pattern. Our warmth will mainly…

3-13-20 Long Range: La Niña-like tendencies develop and influence the pattern into April. B.

13

Mar

By Bret Walts

3-13-20 Long Range: La Niña-like tendencies develop and influence the pattern into April. B.

Good morning everyone. No new video forecast today, please refer to yesterday's video for a short-term and summer pattern discussion. Be sure to read the week's 3/4 slide for our official thoughts into April. Yesterday's Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k2guAaZ4zuU&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 Long Range Slides (Click below to view in HD): 3-13 Long Range Analysis…

3-12-20 Long-range: Analyzing warm risks late March into April. Detailed discussion of Summer Forecast. B.

12

Mar

By Kirk Hinz

3-12-20 Long-range: Analyzing warm risks late March into April. Detailed discussion of Summer Forecast. B.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/k2guAaZ4zuU?hd=1 If you missed it yesterday, here is our first jump into a preliminary summer forecast + research: PDF summer report (click link below to open in HD): 2020 Summer Prelim Today's long-range PDF report (click link below to open in HD): 3-12-20 Long Range Analysis Key Points:…

11

Mar

By Kirk Hinz

3-11-20 BAM Preliminary Summer Ideas.

Long-range models often times struggle in the extended range with ENSO forecasts. Based on previous research, the IOD/QBO can sometimes be used an indicators of the upcoming ENSO evolution. This year had the strongest +IOD on record and among other strong +IOD years, the ENSO state evolved into cool-neutral or…

3-11-20 Long-range: Updated April Forecasts + discussing important signals into the growing season. B.

11

Mar

By Kirk Hinz

3-11-20 Long-range: Updated April Forecasts + discussing important signals into the growing season. B.

Today's video: https://youtu.be/gBRdDIcm54w PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 3-11-20 Long Range Analysis Key Points: Very warm week 1 overall especially in the Eastern US. Clearly feeling some MJO Phase 6/7 here even as the MJO weakens. With a building thermal gradient, it is clear…