9-20-19 PM AG Check-up:  Continuing warmer trends.  MG.

9-20-19 PM AG Check-up: Continuing warmer trends. MG.

Good Friday Afternoon!  Here is your latest PM Ag Weather Check-up!  Have a blessed day!  -Matt ** The GEFS is not a direct representation of our thoughts** HD Link: 9-20-19 AGWX Report •The 12z GEFS trended warmer across much of the central US and cooler across the west coast and northeast coast. •These temperature changes match our thoughts as a –AAM will continue to keep much of the eastern and central US much above normal and the some cooler temperatures to the West Coast. •The 12z GEFS trended drier across the central US and wetter across the Northern Plains. •The…
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9-20-19 Long-range: Discussing lengthy warmth ahead, excessive rainfall risks + updated weeks 3/4 / October forecasts. M.

9-20-19 Long-range: Discussing lengthy warmth ahead, excessive rainfall risks + updated weeks 3/4 / October forecasts. M.

Don't forget to sign-up for our official client winter webinar Wed, Oct 9th at 11amET here! BAMwx.com/client-webinar/ Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iNILHwAEFEs&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Report (click link to the right to open in HD): 9-20-19 Long range analysis Key Points: Notable warmth this week in the Central US with most of the Ag Belt averaging 5 – 8F above normal.  Keeping an eye on the remnants of Tropical Storm Imelda that brought up to 32”+ of rain in Texas and will bring rain up into the Eastern Plains/Midwest later this week. Any cold fronts in the next week or two look to have…
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9-20-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Heat persists for many ahead, discussing excessive rainfall risks & more. K.

9-20-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Heat persists for many ahead, discussing excessive rainfall risks & more. K.

Hoping you all have a very blessed weekend! -Kirk PDF Report (click link to the right to open in HD): 9-20-19 AM Ag Weather Checkup Key Points: 24 hour rainfall: although the radar is quiet this morning, yesterday morning we still had locally heavy rainfall especially across eastern NE, northeast / southwest IA, northern IL to the southern half of WI. Today’s weather highlights: Our next more impactful precipitation risk will come late tonight across the northwestern Plains bringing widespread 0.5-1.5” risks, moving southeast slowly through Saturday across the central Plains. Weekend weather highlights: The models merge the southern tropical…
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9-19-19 European Weekly Analysis

Good Evening!  Here is your latest European Weekly analysis.  Have a blessed day!  -Matt Newest European Weekly continues to show an east US ridge with widespread warmth for much of October with a –PNA (west coast trough) bringing cooler temperatures for the West Coast.  Overall, this matches our temperature outlook for October as a –AAM continues to be the dominate pattern driver in the atmosphere.  This –AAM background state suggest a “La Nina” like set up with a west coast trough and western US ridge.  Our analogs of –AAM in October also suggest this look with widespread warmth across the…
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*Special Oct Rainfall Outlook Update. Major Rains Possible. Harvest Delays?*

*Special Oct Rainfall Outlook Update. Major Rains Possible. Harvest Delays?*

*Special Oct Rainfall Outlook Update. Major Rains Possible. Harvest Delays?* This afternoon ive been looking over some of our analogs that involve a similar MJO pattern to 2019 aka tropical forcing. One thing im growing increasingly concerned with is the possibility that MJO can stall out in phase 1 which has a statistically high correlation to very wet weather here in the Midwest in October. This pattern is actually somewhat very similar to Oct 2018. What catches my attention is these particular phases of the MJO are also notorious for Atlantic tropical activity and all it takes is 1 storm…
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9-19-19 Long-range: Discussing increasing concern for excessive rainfall / persisting dryness ahead + lingering warmth. K.

9-19-19 Long-range: Discussing increasing concern for excessive rainfall / persisting dryness ahead + lingering warmth. K.

***No new video this morning. We did include an updated notes slide below on our elevated concerns for excessive moisture risks across parts of the north-central to northern Plains especially. Have a blessed day -Kirk PDF Report (click link to the right to open in HD): 9-19-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Notable warmth this week in the Central US with most of the Ag Belt averaging 5 – 8F above normal.  Keeping an eye on the remnants of Tropical Storm Imelda that brought up to 32”+ of rain in Texas and will bring rain up into the Eastern Plains/Midwest later…
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9-19-2019 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Pattern overall locked in over the next 2+ weeks…latest details here. K.

9-19-2019 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Pattern overall locked in over the next 2+ weeks…latest details here. K.

Have a blessed day! -Kirk PDF Report (click link to the right to open in HD): 9-19-19 AM Ag Weather Checkup Key Points: 24 hour rainfall: another very quiet day of weather yesterday, showers and storms continue this AM across eastern NE, Iowa, southeast MN to central WI with localized flash flooding noted as well. Today’s weather highlights: Anticipating the wave currently on radar to continue into late morning before likely finally starting to weaken…otherwise, same story different day with the widespread grain belt-wide dryness. Friday’s weather highlights: Our next more impactful precipitation risk will come late Friday night across…
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9-18-19 Long-range: Sharing updated official October thoughts & warmer risks ahead. M.

9-18-19 Long-range: Sharing updated official October thoughts & warmer risks ahead. M.

Don't forget to sign-up for our official client winter webinar Wed, Oct 9th at 11amET here! BAMwx.com/client-webinar/ Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MnG1gLzXYQs&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Report (click link to the right to open in HD): 9-18-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Major warmth this week in the Central US with most of the Ag Belt averaging 8 – 12F above normal.  Keeping an eye on a tropical disturbance that will bring rain into Texas and up into the Eastern Plains/Midwest later this week. Any cold fronts in the next week or two look to have minimal impact on temperatures with brief periods of moderation rather…
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9-18-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Pattern ahead “steady-as-she-goes” w/ widespread warmth ahead…grain belt split w/ precip chances ahead as well. K.

9-18-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Pattern ahead “steady-as-she-goes” w/ widespread warmth ahead…grain belt split w/ precip chances ahead as well. K.

Have a blessed day! -Kirk PDF Report (click link to the right to open in HD): 9-18-19 AM Ag Weather Checkup Key Points: 24 hour rainfall: another very quiet day of weather yesterday, showers and storms continue this AM across central MN to northwest IA as well as western ND bringing locally moderate rains. Today’s weather highlights: Expecting these storms to continue pushing east across MN this AM as well as IA and ND before weakening into mid-day…otherwise quiet weather widespread today is expected. Thursday’s weather highlights: Late tonight night into early Thursday AM watching for the same boundary mentioned…
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9-17-19 PM Ag Check-up: Detailing the latest GEFS trends for Week 2.V.

9-17-19 PM Ag Check-up: Detailing the latest GEFS trends for Week 2.V.

Good Tuesday Afternoon! Here is a look at your latest PM Ag Weather Check-up! ** The GEFS is not a direct representation of our thoughts** HD Link:9-17-19 Ag PM Check-up The 12z GEFS trended warmer across the Northwest  and Northern Plains with no notable changes across the rest of the country. These changes go against our thoughts of a cooler Pacific NW during this time as we look to have a –PNA pattern which supports cooler risks.  As discussed in detail over the past few reports, the state of the AAM is a big pattern driver and if we continue…
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