7-18-19 Long-range: Pattern evolution thoughts ahead remain consistent – Short-term heat, big cool shot next week…up-and-down first half of August? K.

7-18-19 Long-range: Pattern evolution thoughts ahead remain consistent – Short-term heat, big cool shot next week…up-and-down first half of August? K.

***No updated video analysis today, we've evaluated the latest research and have verified our thoughts of the pattern ahead are consistent to what we've mentioned all week. We will have an updated video Friday for our updated week's 3/4 forecast and August pattern evolution as a whole. Have a blessed day! -Kirk PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): Link: 7-18-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Excessive Heat Warnings from the Plains to the Ohio Valley and even in the Northeast through the weekend. Cold front Sunday has sped up and will allow for cooler and drier risks for…
Read More
7-18-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Discussing storm cluster risks / excessive heat in the short-term + extended cool down next week. K.

7-18-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Discussing storm cluster risks / excessive heat in the short-term + extended cool down next week. K.

Have a blessed day! -Kirk PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): Link: 7-18-19 AM Ag Weather Checkup Key Points: The big story yesterday was the 800 mile long MCS (storm cluster) that had barreled its way from central South Dakota through Iowa, western Illinois to eastern Missouri yesterday, bring widespread 0.5-1.5”+ rainfall and winds noted 60-80mph / widespread wind damage reports the whole way through. We currently have another fairly widespread cluster of storms and heavy rainfall across SE Minnesota, NE Iowa and southern WI this morning, which we anticipate to potentially continue to trek south into…
Read More
7-17-19 PM Ag Weather Report: Data trends closer to BAM forecast, latest details on cooler week 2. B.

7-17-19 PM Ag Weather Report: Data trends closer to BAM forecast, latest details on cooler week 2. B.

Good afternoon. Below is your latest PM Ag Weather Report with a new structure. We are going to focus our reports on our thoughts rather than centering it around model data. Model data changes/forecasts will be noted as necessary.  ~ Bret 7-17-19 AGWX Afternoon Barry is working off to the East out of the Ag Belt and should impact portions of the Mid-Atlantic next.  Storm cluster risks are possible still tomorrow morning a bit further north than today as the ridge of high pressure expands. Models will continue to perform poorly on this idea.  Widespread excessive heat warnings and watches…
Read More
7-17-19 Long-range: Cooler risks next week…hotter risks into August…details here. M.

7-17-19 Long-range: Cooler risks next week…hotter risks into August…details here. M.

Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DTR6Johj4b0&feature=youtu.be PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): Link: 7-17-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Some storms cluster risks as the ridge builds are increasing in portions of Iowa, the Northern Plains and Upper-Midwest with a cluster ongoing SE SD this morning diving SE. Heat really builds later this week with drier risks under the ridge in the Central Plains. Some northwest flow will develop as the ridge retracts early next week and brings a storm threat as a cold front moves through. We continue to watch for a cool-down in the pattern beginning early next week…
Read More
7-17-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Discussing excessive heat in the short-term, big cool-down into next week + early Aug thoughts. K.

7-17-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Discussing excessive heat in the short-term, big cool-down into next week + early Aug thoughts. K.

Have a blessed day! -Kirk PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): Link: 7-17-19 AM Ag Weather Checkup Key Points: Rainfall over the past 24 hours was focused across the Dakotas (currently still active here as well), parts of NE, IA and southern MN (yesterday AM) and the tropical remains of Barry bringing fairly widespread 0.5-1.5” to the Ohio Valley (localized 2-3” amounts have been confirmed). Excessive heat warnings and watches hoisted across nearly all of the central Plains, Midwest and Ohio Valley for Thursday to Sunday (slide 2)…temps ranging from 95-105ºF will be likely, heat indices 100-115ºF.…
Read More
7-16-19 PM Ag Weather Report: No notable changes to forecast thoughts, targeting storm cluster risks tonight/tomorrow. B.

7-16-19 PM Ag Weather Report: No notable changes to forecast thoughts, targeting storm cluster risks tonight/tomorrow. B.

Good afternoon. Below is your latest PM Ag Weather Report with a new structure. We are going to focus our reports on our thoughts rather than centering it around model data. Model data changes/forecasts will be noted as necessary.  ~ Bret 7-16 AGWX Afternoon Remnants of Barry will continue to lead to storms throughout the Ohio Valley this afternoon and tonight and lead to locally heavy rain.  Storm cluster will progress through the Dakotas overnight tonight and into Iowa.  Heat remains on the table later this week and this weekend with heat indices of 105 – 110 in portions of…
Read More
7-16-19 Long-range: A lot of ups-and-downs the next few weeks…details here. M.

7-16-19 Long-range: A lot of ups-and-downs the next few weeks…details here. M.

Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ex-ZhpxKmtA&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): Link: 7-16-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Some storms cluster risks as the ridge builds are increasing in portions of Iowa and Nebraska with rain ongoing in some areas this morning.  Heat really builds later this week with drier risks under the ridge in the Central Plains. Some northwest flow will develop as the ridge retracts early next week and brings some storm cluster risks into the Midwest and Eastern Plains.  We continue to watch for a cool-down in the pattern in week 2 related to a strongly –SOI…
Read More
7-16-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Big warm-up still targeted thru the weekend…discussing risks for cooler late next week. K.

7-16-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Big warm-up still targeted thru the weekend…discussing risks for cooler late next week. K.

Have a blessed day! -Kirk PDF Report (click link below to open in higher definition): Link: 7-16-19 AM Ag Weather Checkup Key Points: Rainfall over the past 24 hours was focused across the western Plains to parts of MN, WI and the MO Valley…with a current cluster moving through NE and northern IA this morning. Totals ranged generally between ~0.5-1.5”. Today is about the final day for feeling the tropical remnants of Barry across the Ohio Valley before it weakens and pushes east…we are still thinking some locally heavy redevelopment is possible across eastern IL, IN, OH and KY ~0.5-1.5”…isolated…
Read More
7-15-19 PM Ag Weather Report: Hot conditions in week 1 begin to subside in week 2. B.

7-15-19 PM Ag Weather Report: Hot conditions in week 1 begin to subside in week 2. B.

Good afternoon!  Here's this afternoon's North America AgWeather Report!  Have a great afternoon! - Bret *Disclaimer: THIS IS THE GFS MODEL NOT THE BAMWX OFFICIAL FORECAST. For our official thoughts, see the morning report along with our analysis slides posted below.* 7-15 AGWX Afternoon Remnants of Barry continue to surge northward and lead to rain in parts of the Missouri and Ohio Valley today and tomorrow beginning to push eastward into Wednesday. Generally speaking Barry has underperformed and regardless the 0.5 – 1.5” of rain across the Ohio Valley the next few days will not be enough to overcome recent…
Read More
7-15-19 Long-range: Intense heat expected over the next 7-10 days…brief cooler shot late month…multiple warmer signals increasing for August. K.

7-15-19 Long-range: Intense heat expected over the next 7-10 days…brief cooler shot late month…multiple warmer signals increasing for August. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/ayjtus0dVMw?hd=1 PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): Link: 7-15-15 Long-range analysis Key Points: Barry, now a tropical depression, continues to move inland and will work northward and into the Missouri and Ohio Valley. Rain amounts will be heaviest in SE Missouri into W. KY/S. IL. Lesser/more sporadic amounts into Indiana and Ohio.  Aside from Barry – drier and hot conditions will dominate much of the Ag Belt. Little to no rain for most of Kansas, Nebraska and S. Iowa the next 7 days. We will need to watch for storm cluster risks to re-develop especially…
Read More