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12-14-20 Long Range: Notable east coast winter storm this week. Keeping an eye on an up/down pattern and risks into 2021. B.
14
Dec
By Vince Bryan

12-14-20 Long Range: Notable east coast winter storm this week. Keeping an eye on an up/down pattern and risks into 2021. B.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/IPuHTNZ_UOY?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open slides in high definition): 12-14-20 Long-Range Analysis Key Points: The period we had targeted back in late November for cooler risks has arrived. Data certainly handled this period very poorly and frankly we got caught up in the…
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12-13-20 Week Ahead: Cooler south/east in the short-term, warmth expands again late this week. B.
13
Dec
By Bret Walts

12-13-20 Week Ahead: Cooler south/east in the short-term, warmth expands again late this week. B.

Good afternoon. Below is your latest week ahead report:  12-13-20 Week Ahead Outlook Temperatures:  Temperatures from normal over the next week will be warmest across the northern tier of the country, coolest underneath in the South and Northeast with more of a focused sub-tropical jet stream and storm activity present.…
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11
Dec
By Vince Bryan

12-11-20 Long-range: Outlining MJO, Polar Vortex, and blocking risks to end Dec/ begin Jan.V.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/vbntZ9OabOA?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open slides in high definition): 12-11-20 Long Range Analysis Key Points: We finally seeing the impacts of our well advertised Dec 11-13 storm system with a swath of snow expected to stretch from SE Nebraska to Northern Michigan.  Rain…
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10
Dec
By Vince Bryan

12-10-20 Long-range: Discussing model differences in the extended range.V.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/mvMZTit4zyw?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open the slides in high definition): 12-10-20 Long Range Analysis Key Points: We continue to watch a snowfall threat from the Central Plains to the Upper-Midwest and Great Lakes tonight and through Saturday. Data is still highly variable with…
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09
Dec
By Vince Bryan

12-9-20 Long-range: Detailing a more active pattern working into mid-December.V.

*No new video analysis today as our thoughts on the extended pattern remain unchanged. Please refer to the updated slides. If you missed yesterday's video, it is posted below. Have a blessed day! -Kirk https://youtu.be/Orxy5OBfJ4s PDF report (click link to the right to open in high definition): 12-9-20 Long Range Analysis Key Points:…
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08
Dec
By Vince Bryan

12-8-20 Long-range: Outlining late week/ weekend Midwest system, MJO progression, and latest weeks 3/4 forecast.V.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/Orxy5OBfJ4s?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 12-8-20 Long Range Analysis Key Points: For the next 7 days, the entire US likely averages out above normal aside from Florida. Temps likely average 8-13 F above normal for the week in the N Plains…
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07
Dec
By Vince Bryan

12-7-20 Long-range: Detailing weekend model trends, warmer risks through the end of Dec.V.

*Make sure to check out our updated notes slide below on the notable warm signals into 2021* Today's video: http://youtu.be/JlFCaKL1-Kw?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 12-7-20 Long Range Analysis Key Points: Week 1 continues to see slightly below normal temps situated in the extreme…
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12-6-20 Week Ahead Report: Warmer trends persisted over the weekend, mild pattern to win out into late December. B.
06
Dec
By Bret Walts

12-6-20 Week Ahead Report: Warmer trends persisted over the weekend, mild pattern to win out into late December. B.

Good afternoon everyone. Below is your latest Week Ahead Report. Have a blessed day. - Bret 12-6-20 Week Ahead Outlook Temperatures:  There’s no question we’ve seen another weekend with rather widespread warming trends on the data as it rolls forward into mid-December. With the MJO pulse looking to stay rather…
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04
Dec
By Vince Bryan

12-4-20 Long-range: Detailing MJO progression into mid-Dec + updated weeks 3/4 forecast.V.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/9gqU0V0Dwj8?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 12-4-20 Long Range Analysis Key Points: Week 1 temps continue to see below normal temps situated in the SE US with much above normal temps for the N Plains. As we progress into the 5-10 day…
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12-3-20 Long-range: Discussing latest model volatility + pattern evolution into mid-Dec.V.
03
Dec
By Vince Bryan

12-3-20 Long-range: Discussing latest model volatility + pattern evolution into mid-Dec.V.

*No updated video analysis today, as our thoughts from yesterday's video remain current. Given the model volatility continuing today, we wanted to give it more time before making any changes. Be sure to check out today's PM report for updated thoughts. If you missed it yesterday, here it is below.…
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