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Video: http://youtu.be/FhMWjcBP7_k?hd=1 Updated severe threat.  The colors you see overlayed in the background are the instability values.  The higher the instability (where the trigger for storms is present (today it's a cold front) the greater your risk of strong/severe storms.   Forecast radar from 4pm CDT this afternoon to 6am CDT Tuesday: Forecast rainfall…

Video: http://youtu.be/czi6tsALtDU?hd=1 Here is a look at total rainfall over the past 24 hours.  Localized excessive rain fell across western Iowa along a stalled frontal boundary last night.  Highest estimate I could find was 8.3" near Brayton, IA. 2 hour radar loop ending at 8:50 CDT this morning: Threat for…

Today's video: http://youtu.be/95Ws7MOA1T0?hd=1 Good Monday morning everyone! We've got a wall of rain that is moving across the Eastern Dakotas and into Minnesota this morning:  These showers will persist throughout most of the day and storms likely fire in Southwest Minnesota later this afternoon and into the evening hours. A…

Tonight's Video:  http://youtu.be/5bFJUYhpAFs?hd=1 Good Sunday evening everyone. A cold front is pushing east into the area and combined with an unstable environment, strong to severe storms likely develop over the next few hours. The primary threat will be hail and damaging winds with these storms. Here's a look at the…

6-10-18 Short term update. Heavy rain/strong storms and possible flooding. M. 6 min video update: http://youtu.be/oVKK75tJuDg?hd=1 Forecast next rainfall over the next 18 hours looking impressive and concerns me for flooding. Details in the video update. If you have questions please reach out. [email protected] 

6-9-18 Ohio valley regional forecast update. We do have storms in the forecast. Fingers crossed. M. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4k5YpSeTMpU&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 It remains hot the next 3 days esp. south and where it does not rain. Here are Highs the next 3 days.  If there is an area that I am worried the storms…

Video: http://youtu.be/GEbJSQbuQ_A?hd=1 Forecast radar from 6am CDT this morning to 8am CDT Sunday: Excessive rainfall outlook today: Total rainfall through 7am CDT Sunday:  Portions of northeast Missouri, and the eastern half of Iowa have potential to see locally heavy rains.  

***Initial post did not include rainfall totals... not much change to thoughts from this morning over the next few days and next 24 hours... but rainfall risks are increasing in Eastern and Southeastern Minnesota as energy lingers into tomorrow***  This afternoon's video:  http://youtu.be/zVjOb787mGE?hd=1 We're starting to see a couple scattered…

Video: http://youtu.be/NmqS538ApaM?hd=1 Overall no big changes from this morning, but wanted to hone in timing and areas of highest storm risks going through the weekend.  Here is the latest rainfall forecast through tomorrow evening.  You can see the greatest focus is across northern and eastern Iowa with scattered pockets of…

Video: http://youtu.be/LjRQtRUYW4E?hd=1 Timing and areas of greatest storm focus this afternoon through Saturday: Severe storm threat for mainly northern Nebraska tonight.  Risk for large hail and damaging winds as storms roll in this evening. Forecast rainfall remains tricky with this set-up, but here an idea of how the rains may…