8-19-19 South Dakota: Discussing the best potential for precip chances out through Tue evening.V.

8-19-19 South Dakota: Discussing the best potential for precip chances out through Tue evening.V.

Good Monday evening! A current look at radar shows that we are totally dry across SD: We are watching for a storm cluster to form in the overnight hours and mainly affect IA. The area outlined in yellow could see some scattered storms as this area will be very weakly organized before the main area starts to form in SE SD/ NW IA. To clarify, there is a decent portion of the area in yellow that will likely stay dry, but the risk is there for some showers and storms overnight before the cluster really gets organized. The best chances to see precip comes closer to…
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8-18-19 Iowa: Cooler and drying out today and tomorrow.V.

8-18-19 Iowa: Cooler and drying out today and tomorrow.V.

Good Sunday Afternoon!  A current look at radar shows that we are seeing some very light and scattered activity across SE IA. Almost all of our precip has fizzled/ moved out of the state: 24 hours rainfall estimates. These are derived from the intensity of a storm on radar so they are not going to be exact down to your location. Overall we saw much of the state pick up over o.5 inches of rain, the heaviest of totals coming just to the SW of Des Moines: For the rest of the day, we think the overwhelming majority of the state stays dry. We do…
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8-14-19 FREE Blog: Analyzing a non-meteorologist’s view of weather forecasts.V.

8-14-19 FREE Blog: Analyzing a non-meteorologist’s view of weather forecasts.V.

Weather Information That is Sometimes Misunderstood by the Public: Everyone has heard the long-standing joke “I wish I got paid for only being right half the time” that meteorologists hear way too often. Part of the reason this joke/ phrase is still so commonly used is due to the way the pubic receives their weather information. Let us clarify that statement. “The public” refers to anyone who looks at a forecast to get an idea as to how the day might pan out weather-wise. This is pretty much everyone, ranging from a landscaper to a professional turf manager to a farmer to…
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8-13-19 Northern Plains: overall drier weather for the next few days and cooler temps.V.

8-13-19 Northern Plains: overall drier weather for the next few days and cooler temps.V.

Good Tuesday Morning! Here is your latest video forecast update: http://youtu.be/kXdnC7DhQpE?hd=1 A look at estimated rainfall amounts for the past 24 hours. Much of SW ND and the Western 2/3 of SD stayed dry, however much of ND and most of MN saw measurable amounts of precip since 10 AM yesterday: A current look at radar shows that we are overall pretty dry across the Northern Plains, we are watching a disturbance in NE ND and NW MN, as well as extreme S Central SD getting touched by some light rains associated with a cluster in Nebraska: For the rest…
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8-12-19 Northern Plains: Quieter and milder weather for the first half of the week.V.

8-12-19 Northern Plains: Quieter and milder weather for the first half of the week.V.

Good Monday Morning! Here is a look at your latest video update: http://youtu.be/BkkmfOKm3kM?hd=1 A current look at radar shows that we are looking at some rain in E parts of SD and Northwest MN right now. The heavier and more widespread rains are stretching from North Central to Southeast ND: Radar estimated rainfall over the past 72 hours. We have seen some pretty nice totals along S ND and much of SD, with a good chunk of the state picking up over an inch in the past 72 hours: Looking at today, we think that the northern half of ND…
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8-12-19 Nebraska: Drying out for much of the work week, best chances for precip later in the week.V.

8-12-19 Nebraska: Drying out for much of the work week, best chances for precip later in the week.V.

Good Monday Morning! Here is today's latest video: http://youtu.be/r8MSCdi_HkU?hd=1 A quick check on the radar shows that we are looking at some very light and very isolated precip, mainly situated on the eastern borders of the state: A look at rainfall over the past 72 hours shows that we certainly have seen some decent rains over the weekend, most notably in the Eastern 2/3 of the state: Throughout the day today, we are not expecting a whole lot of precipitation today. We think that overall today is a nice day. There can be some isolated showers in the E third…
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8-11-19 Iowa: Discussing potential rounds of rain today and tomorrow.V.

8-11-19 Iowa: Discussing potential rounds of rain today and tomorrow.V.

Good Sunday Morning! Below is a look at current radar. We are seeing a storm cluster from KS/NE work its way into SW IA this morning: Here is a look at simulated radar from 11 AM CT today until 7 PM CT tonight. We are still seeing data door a poor job of reflecting what we see on radar as models often cannot handle bigger storm clusters that well. We think that this cluster will continue to work its way to the E, although we do not see this cluster diminishing as rapidly as this model is depicting. Right now…
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8-10-19 Minnesota: Short Term Update Through Sunday Evening.V.

8-10-19 Minnesota: Short Term Update Through Sunday Evening.V.

Good Saturday Morning! A check on radar shows that we are currently looking at showers from the West Central parts of MN down to far SE MN: 24 hour rainfall estimates show that the majority of precip in the state fell on a line from Fargo, ND to St. Cloud to Minneapolis and points South. Most areas saw less than 0.75 inches with a few in the 0.75 - 1.00 inch range near the ND/SD/MN borders: We think that as we work later into the day, we will gradually see our precip diminish in coverage. We think this model is…
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8-6-19 FREE Blog: Why winter forecasts depend on more than just El Niño/ La Niña.V.

8-6-19 FREE Blog: Why winter forecasts depend on more than just El Niño/ La Niña.V.

One of the most common questions we get asked every year is “I heard we are going to be in an El Niño this winter, does that mean it's going to be warmer/cooler and wetter/drier than normal?” The typical answer to this question is, well, it depends. A lot of people may not realize it, but our atmosphere is extremely complex. So complex in fact that even with today’s technology, our computer models can miss details on a big storm within 12 hours due to the complexity some of these storms hold. The atmosphere acts a lot like a liquid…
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8-4-19 South Dakota: Short Term Update Through Monday Evening.V.

8-4-19 South Dakota: Short Term Update Through Monday Evening.V.

Good Sunday Morning! A current look at radar shows we are looking at a rather big storm cluster in NW SD trying to work its way E as it crossed the SD/MT border: The past 24 hours rainfall accumulation. We have seen almost all of our precip in the past 24 hours come in the western half of the state: Today we think that we could be looking at somewhat of an active day precipitation wise. We are watching an area of upper level energy (darker shades of red) work from W to E across the state. Right now the…
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