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Good afternoon!  With winter approaching, I thought it would be valuable to talk about winter weather forecasting, and what makes it unique, FUN, and challenging.  There is often confusion between sleet, freezing rain, and snow, and the processes causing these types of precipitation.  The goal for this blog is to give you a much better understanding of winter weather! First things first, what makes winter weather difficult to forecast?  There is a lot to consider.  Just very small errors in the temperature can have a huge difference in the outcome.  Imagine forecasting 0.50" of rain at 34º.  Let's say the…

Good morning!  Hope everyone is doing well!  After a briefly milder weekend for many, we are settling back to a colder pattern over the next several days.  Other than minor disturbances, the main feature many are watching is a southern storm system expected to bring heavy precipitation to the southern U.S. this weekend.  The northern edge of this will have the threat to see some wintry precipitation, although questions remain on the northern extent and how much cold air is in place where the moisture is falling.  The set-up is a bit unique which makes the forecast more complicated. A…