South America

Good morning!  In today's video, I discuss the latest thinking in regards to how the pattern can evolve heading into OCT and on.  As always, check out the video and let us know if you have any questions.   Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S9U8qdU5Ns4

Good morning! No video today as the forecast ahead remains completely unchanged regarding where the dry/hot and heavy rain threats are setting up shop. Here are the latest maps regarding observations and forecast for the next 4 weeks. Please let us know if you have any questions, have a great…

Good morning!  Here is your latest South America Forecast Update: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=99zaxvxh0r4 Here is a look at observed rainfall over the last 2 weeks: Here is a look at 1 month soil moisture change: Here is a look at the Euro Weekly Forecast though mid-June:  Patterns of extremes continue as we…

Good morning, hope everyone is doing well! Please watch all of today's video, which is short and sweet ~6min, for the latest on the May pattern ahead. We discuss the excessively dry (and warm) forecast for central Brazil ahead, and majorly rains expected for southern Brazil/Paraguay over the next 30…

Today's video: https://youtu.be/wcz5jzNiO5E?hd=1 Observed rainfall over the last week (7 days): Latest root zone soil moisture drought indicator observations: Week 1 Euro Op forecast rainfall: Week 2 Euro ensemble 7-day precipitation forecast: Next 30 days Euro weekly total precipitation forecast ahead (through late May):

Good morning! Here is your latest South America Forecast Update: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f2Y2fJvp5TI Preferred week 1 rainfall totals: Preferred week 2 rainfall totals: Next 14 day temperature anomaly:

Good morning!  Here is your latest South America Forecast Update: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OHVwEI7C9HQ Here is a look at the preferred rainfall amounts over the next 7 days:     Here is the preferred rainfall amounts in the week 2 timeframe: Preferred rainfall amounts in the week 3 timeframe. Preferred rainfall amounts in the…

Good morning!  Here is your latest South America Forecast Update: https://youtu.be/eh0i2Ip2hLM Here is a look at the preferred rainfall amounts over the next 7 days (in mm) Here is a look at the preferred rainfall amounts in the week 2 timeframe (in mm). *Note that this is the average of…

Please make sure to watch the entire video today, as it's critical to the pattern ahead the next 4-6 weeks. Long story short, our anticipation of rains shutting off early for central Brazil and increasing on an excessive scale for southern Brazil, Uruguay, NE Argentina to southern Paraguay is panning…