7-18-19 Northern Plains: Targeting additional storm risks into Saturday…much quieter weekend settles in. N.

7-18-19 Northern Plains: Targeting additional storm risks into Saturday…much quieter weekend settles in. N.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/sDGpnhgkif0?hd=1 Observed rainfall over the past 24 hours across the Region...locally heavy rains noted especially across NE and SE Minnesota and spots across south-central North Dakota: Storm reports over the past 24 hours...was very active with a few tornadoes in northern MN and hail/wind reports scattered across the Dakotas: A skinny line of storms looks to redevelop across far southern MN tonight, but the bigger risk likely comes late Friday night into Saturday morning for additional flash flooding and isolated strong storms across SE SD to southern MN once again...the reason this area is so active is the…
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7-18-19 Long-range: Pattern evolution thoughts ahead remain consistent – Short-term heat, big cool shot next week…up-and-down first half of August? K.

7-18-19 Long-range: Pattern evolution thoughts ahead remain consistent – Short-term heat, big cool shot next week…up-and-down first half of August? K.

***No updated video analysis today, we've evaluated the latest research and have verified our thoughts of the pattern ahead are consistent to what we've mentioned all week. We will have an updated video Friday for our updated week's 3/4 forecast and August pattern evolution as a whole. Have a blessed day! -Kirk PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): Link: 7-18-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Excessive Heat Warnings from the Plains to the Ohio Valley and even in the Northeast through the weekend. Cold front Sunday has sped up and will allow for cooler and drier risks for…
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7-18-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Discussing storm cluster risks / excessive heat in the short-term + extended cool down next week. K.

7-18-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Discussing storm cluster risks / excessive heat in the short-term + extended cool down next week. K.

Have a blessed day! -Kirk PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): Link: 7-18-19 AM Ag Weather Checkup Key Points: The big story yesterday was the 800 mile long MCS (storm cluster) that had barreled its way from central South Dakota through Iowa, western Illinois to eastern Missouri yesterday, bring widespread 0.5-1.5”+ rainfall and winds noted 60-80mph / widespread wind damage reports the whole way through. We currently have another fairly widespread cluster of storms and heavy rainfall across SE Minnesota, NE Iowa and southern WI this morning, which we anticipate to potentially continue to trek south into…
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7-17-19 PM Energy Check-up: Still looking to cool things down next week after this short-term heat…warm return early August? K.

7-17-19 PM Energy Check-up: Still looking to cool things down next week after this short-term heat…warm return early August? K.

Your PM energy check up and official analysis is below. Have a blessed day! -Kirk ***The GEFS of GFS solutions are not direct representations of our forecast thoughts ahead...please refer to the text analysis and official long-range outlooks / discussion in the long-range update. Week 1: Another day where we don’t see a lot of disagreement in the GEFS solution ahead other than we think it’s still a touch too cool vs reality regarding the national cooling demand potential and the anomalies across the central US. The EPS has been verifying much closer recently and matches our temperature evolution dates…
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7-17-19 Trenton Thunder: Targeting storms today and tomorrow and excessive heat. B.

7-17-19 Trenton Thunder: Targeting storms today and tomorrow and excessive heat. B.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/DrmaJ1N5f88?hd=1 7-day forecast graphic: Excessive heat warnings have been hoisted across the area through Sunday for heat indices reaching as high as 110F especially Saturday and Sunday: Rainfall totals ranging between 0.75-1.50" are realistic totals here in the short-term...with a round possible late this evening (a few strong to severe storms with with wind the main threat possible) and more widespread coverage, and scattered coverage tomorrow regarding storms; cannot fully rule a couple of these being strong/heavy in nature for a time...we time out everything in the video above: If you have any questions, do not hesitate to…
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7-17-19 Northern Plains: Additional storm threats tonight (esp. Minnesota)…a bit drier Thurs/Fri.  N.

7-17-19 Northern Plains: Additional storm threats tonight (esp. Minnesota)…a bit drier Thurs/Fri. N.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/YJvzS2Wh39E?hd=1 Observed rainfall over the past 24 hours is below...some localized very heavy rainfall noted across the southern half of ND and a good many locations across SD: Several locations in the circled area across the southern half of MN are anticipated to see 1.0-3.0"...a few locations maybe even top 3.0"+ due to flash flooding risks especially south and east. Otherwise, we targeted scattered 0.25-0.75" across eastern ND to northern MN, and isolated 0.25-0.50" across western ND: We've circle an area black where we favor the best risks for flash flooding and strong / severe risks tonight...damaging winds…
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7-17-19 Long-range: Cooler risks next week…hotter risks into August…details here. M.

7-17-19 Long-range: Cooler risks next week…hotter risks into August…details here. M.

Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DTR6Johj4b0&feature=youtu.be PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): Link: 7-17-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Some storms cluster risks as the ridge builds are increasing in portions of Iowa, the Northern Plains and Upper-Midwest with a cluster ongoing SE SD this morning diving SE. Heat really builds later this week with drier risks under the ridge in the Central Plains. Some northwest flow will develop as the ridge retracts early next week and brings a storm threat as a cold front moves through. We continue to watch for a cool-down in the pattern beginning early next week…
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7-17-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Discussing excessive heat in the short-term, big cool-down into next week + early Aug thoughts. K.

7-17-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Discussing excessive heat in the short-term, big cool-down into next week + early Aug thoughts. K.

Have a blessed day! -Kirk PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): Link: 7-17-19 AM Ag Weather Checkup Key Points: Rainfall over the past 24 hours was focused across the Dakotas (currently still active here as well), parts of NE, IA and southern MN (yesterday AM) and the tropical remains of Barry bringing fairly widespread 0.5-1.5” to the Ohio Valley (localized 2-3” amounts have been confirmed). Excessive heat warnings and watches hoisted across nearly all of the central Plains, Midwest and Ohio Valley for Thursday to Sunday (slide 2)…temps ranging from 95-105ºF will be likely, heat indices 100-115ºF.…
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7-16-19 PM Energy Check-up: Slight warmer changes today closer to the Euro solution. K.

7-16-19 PM Energy Check-up: Slight warmer changes today closer to the Euro solution. K.

Your PM energy check up and official analysis is below. Have a blessed day! -Kirk ***The GEFS of GFS solutions are not direct representations of our forecast thoughts ahead...please refer to the text analysis and official long-range outlooks / discussion in the long-range update. Week 1: No disagreeable changes on today’s 12z GEFS, in fact, the slightly warmer changes towards our warmer forecast make much sense are in closer to the Euro solution regarding cooling demand ahead. For week 1 we still largely favor more vs the American data as we think the GFS is still slightly too quick on…
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7-16-19 Northern Plains: Targeting heavy storm clusters through mid-week…less active late week. N.

7-16-19 Northern Plains: Targeting heavy storm clusters through mid-week…less active late week. N.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/LaGeX4O5K2M?hd=1 24 hours observed rainfall across the area: Here's a quick snapshot of timing that we favor regarding the storm evolution tonight into tomorrow morning: We do favor the increased risks for damaging winds, large hail, isolated tornadoes and locally heavy rainfall tonight into tomorrow morning in the area especially circled in the black: Rainfall totals in the 2 circled areas are favored to range between 0.5-1.5"...a few areas achieving up to 2-3" cannot, however, be fully ruled out: We anticipate a re-intensification of a line of showers and storms, some being strong to severe with damaging winds,…
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