2-15-19 Early AM SA Ag Weather Check-up: Discussing updated thoughts on the pattern next 2-4 weeks. K.

2-15-19 Early AM SA Ag Weather Check-up: Discussing updated thoughts on the pattern next 2-4 weeks. K.

becks, South America
Have a blessed weekend! -Kirk Key Points: Over the past 24 hours a most of the major Argentinian croplands stayed dry again, with nearly every Brazil region seeing rains of 0.25-1.00” yesterday with localized higher in each area as well. Week 1 Brazil : Rains stay super persistent here for the week 1 still across Brazil nearly everywhere experiencing widespread 1.0-3.0”, with local pockets of 3”+ to be had across Mato Grosso, Goais, Sao Paolo and Minas Gerais especially. Week 1 Argentina/Uruguay: The major Argentinian and Uruguay croplands are overall very dry for week 1 still which again is the…
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2-14-19 PM Energy Check-up: Colder trends so far on today’s 12z GEFS, discussing the growing differences vs EPS. K.

2-14-19 PM Energy Check-up: Colder trends so far on today’s 12z GEFS, discussing the growing differences vs EPS. K.

Energy
Here is the latest PM Energy Check-Up forecasts.   *Note* this is data from the GEFS, the maps are not our official forecast. For our official outlooks, please see our GWHDD forecast in the report below or our updated week’s 1 and 2 maps on our website!  Have a blessed day! -Kirk Week 1: We saw some cooler trends in the week 1 timeframe on today’s 12z GEFS, growing the difference even further apart of the 0z EPS. We are cautious when considering these trends given the spread between both models. The GEFS just continues to try and push the…
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2-14-19 Early AM SA Ag Weather Check-up: Breaking down the differences in the week 2 model precipitation differences. K.

2-14-19 Early AM SA Ag Weather Check-up: Breaking down the differences in the week 2 model precipitation differences. K.

becks, South America
Have a blessed day! -Kirk Key Points: Over the past 24 hours a most of the major Argentinian croplands stayed dry again as well as RD so Sul and Santa Catarina, Brazil. While the majority of the Brazilian croplands north saw additional rainfall ~60% coverage of 0.5-1.5”. Week 1 Brazil : Rains stay super persistent here for the week 1 across Brazil nearly everywhere experiencing widespread 1.0-3.0”, with local pockets of 3”+ to be had across Mato Grosso, Goais, Sao Paolo and Minas Gerais especially. Week 1 Argentina/Uruguay: The major Argentinian and Uruguay croplands are overall very dry for week…
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2-13-19 PM Energy Check-up: Warmer changes continue east today…discussing the drivers behind the pattern ahead. K.

2-13-19 PM Energy Check-up: Warmer changes continue east today…discussing the drivers behind the pattern ahead. K.

Energy
Here is the latest PM Energy Check-Up forecasts.   *Note* this is data from the GEFS, the maps are not our official forecast. For our official outlooks, please see our GWHDD forecast in the report below or our updated week's 1 and 2 maps on our website!  Have a blessed day! -Kirk Week 1: Slight warmer changes in the week 1 timeframe close to our forecast from this morning and the EPS as well. The cold continues to be carried in the NW and West Coast with the warmth holding strong south and east. Still anticipate slight gains in week…
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2-13-19 Long-range: Breaking down the North Pacific pattern for ideas into March…updated data regarding the spring forecast. M.

2-13-19 Long-range: Breaking down the North Pacific pattern for ideas into March…updated data regarding the spring forecast. M.

Agriculture, becks, Energy
Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y8bmf9ReAGU&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Slides (click link below to open in HD): 2-13-19 Long-Range Analysis Images: Key Points: Above normal heating demand for the week 1 period as we continue to rise following the last few below normal demand days. We still have a few lower demand days to work through before we rise above normal as the western US continues to be well below normal in temperatures and the cold air bleeds into the Midwest/Ohio Valley behind storms at times. Data trended much warmer overall overnight last night with the GEFS losing nearly 40 points over the past 18…
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2-13-19 Early AM SA Ag Weather Check-up: Rains shift all north into Brazil, very dry in Argentina for week 1…pattern flips the switch in week 2. K.

2-13-19 Early AM SA Ag Weather Check-up: Rains shift all north into Brazil, very dry in Argentina for week 1…pattern flips the switch in week 2. K.

becks, South America
Have a blessed day! -Kirk Key Points: Over the past 24 hours a most of the major Argentinian croplands stayed dry, while the majority of the Brazilian croplands saw additional rainfall ~60% coverage of 0.5-1.5”…localized pockets though of 2-3” were noted in Paraguay and MG do Sul / Sao Paolo, Brazil. Week 1 Brazil: Continued high coverage rainfall is anticipated over the next 7 days on the order of 70/80% at least of the major croplands seeing 1.0-3.0” with localized higher from Mato Grosso, Goais, southern Minas Gerais and Sao Paolo areas. Week 1 Argentina/Uruguay: The major Argentinian croplands are…
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