South America – Page 47

14

Oct

By Kirk Hinz

10-14-20 South America: Discussing short-term drier trends + late Oct to Nov pattern progression. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/jfAiAlpZ4Jw?hd=1 Favored week 1 guidance: Updated week 2 outlooks:

13

Oct

By Kirk Hinz

10-13-20 South America: Quick note on some roll-forward drier trends I’ve been noticing. K.

Good Tuesday morning! No new video update today but I did want to share something I thought was interesting and hopefully brings added value to you, too. Recently I've been noting in my videos that the European data has been roll-forwarding from being wetter beyond a week out to drier…

10-12-20 South America: Rains increasing for central Brazil this week…discussing model differences & trends ahead. K.

12

Oct

By Kirk Hinz

10-12-20 South America: Rains increasing for central Brazil this week…discussing model differences & trends ahead. K.

Today's video: https://youtu.be/fL8SMr1GS8w Favored week 1 outlooks: Updated week 2 outlooks:

10-9-20 South America: Discussing latest on central Brazil rains into next week + pattern shift potential into November. K.

09

Oct

By Kirk Hinz

10-9-20 South America: Discussing latest on central Brazil rains into next week + pattern shift potential into November. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/cNgsvIkj4wA?hd=1 Favored week 1 guidance: Updated week 2 outlooks: Top November precipitation analog (years most similar to this year's atmospheric conditions)...favoring the dryness to start spiking across Southern Brazil, Uruguay to Argentina:

10-7-20 South America: Discussing latest trends in short-term rains + updated November/December thoughts. K.

07

Oct

By Kirk Hinz

10-7-20 South America: Discussing latest trends in short-term rains + updated November/December thoughts. K.

Today's video: https://youtu.be/1TWj2pDAqDE Latest sub-surface soil moisture anomalies vs 1 month ago: Week 1 favored data: Week 2 updated outlooks:

10-5-20 South America: Discussing increasing rainfall potential in the medium-term + risks to still watch. K.

05

Oct

By Kirk Hinz

10-5-20 South America: Discussing increasing rainfall potential in the medium-term + risks to still watch. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/j4Cu4UMIcPY?hd=1 Week 1 favored data: Week 2 official outlooks:

10-2-20 South America: Concerns on the rise for lingering hot/dry weather into mid-Oct. K.

02

Oct

By Kirk Hinz

10-2-20 South America: Concerns on the rise for lingering hot/dry weather into mid-Oct. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/93dMl4720xE?hd=1 Week 1 favored data: Week 2 official outlooks:

30

Sep

By Kirk Hinz

9-30-20 South America: Discussing continued very hot and dry central Brazil next 5-10 days + final October forecast. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/AyI8M1QcXdg?hd=1 Latest week 2 official forecasts: Final October forecast:

9-28-20 South America: Discussing pattern change potential for precipitation in the 10-15 day forecast. K.

28

Sep

By Kirk Hinz

9-28-20 South America: Discussing pattern change potential for precipitation in the 10-15 day forecast. K.

Today's video: https://youtu.be/7lqnBV-IN3U As discussed in the video above, seeing the potential for a pattern change in the 10-15 day timeframe (~Oct 8-13, 2020) for increased precip chances for central and eastern Brazil due to a rising Antarctic Oscillation forecast (+AAO - 2nd image is the October correlation where the…

9-18-20 South America: Discussing short-term warm/dry Brazil + latest growing season research. K.

18

Sep

By Kirk Hinz

9-18-20 South America: Discussing short-term warm/dry Brazil + latest growing season research. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/R5o8oQyswkI?hd=1 Right now, here are my top analogs (similar conditions to this year) going into the growing season for South America (December, January, February):