South America

Good morning! Today we discuss the anticipated timeframe of rainfall returning to Argentina, as the major growing areas there have gotten very dry, very quickly....as well as discussing the east vs west battle of precipitation continuing into February for Brazil. Please let us know if you have any questions after…

Today's video: https://youtu.be/RLIuAWg2RWM?si=uqx7ohRaMNtQ5mEE Favored week 1 precipitation forecast totals (Euro): Overall favored week 2 precipitation forecast (Euro ensemble): Weeks 3/4 (Feb 9-22, 2024) Precipitation forecast analogs - 1987+2005 combo:

Good morning! I spent a lot of time pouring over research today as we head into February and the dry/hot pattern growing for Argentina and a pattern of extremes developing across central Brazil as well (east vs west). A lot of great content provided in today's video, please let us…

Good morning! Today we spent some extra time discussing how we foresee the pattern progression ahead over the next few months for SA, regarding precip and temps vs normal. Please let us know if you have any questions, have a blessed day! -Kirk Today's video: https://youtu.be/UNc1iQUqoXg?hd=1 January month to date…

***Please watch the entire video today as I discuss the major differences between what the data says and the research says for how this pattern progresses into February. If you have any questions, please don't hesitate to reach out...have a great weekend! -Kirk Today's video: https://youtu.be/lzvotxCDZeg?hd=1 Latest root zone soil…

Latest video forecast: https://youtu.be/MrIAFftWceY?hd=1 Current root zone soil moisture anomaly observation: Month to date precipitation % of normal: Euro vs GFS precipitation accumulation forecast over the next week (reference video for comparison): Here's what our favored historical analogs suggest for the first half of February (using the years of 1987…

Good Friday morning, hoping you all are doing well! Today we discuss the drier/hotter risks for central Brazil over the next 2 weeks + the data trying to return rains in that same area late in the month to early February. We also discuss what history/research tells us could happen…

Good Wednesday morning! Today we recap the first ~1/3rd of January timely rainfall verification across Brazil + the central Brazil hotter/drier risks returning quickly (and rolling forward well). All details in the video below, please let us know if you have any questions! -Kirk Today's video: https://youtu.be/yl3uOGT-MZk?hd=1 Observed rainfall for…

Good Monday morning! Today we discuss the latest on rainfall observations over the weekend + the last 7 days, and take a detailed-dive into the pattern ahead over the next 2-3 weeks vs how the MJO is evolving (and what history tells us). Latest video analysis is below, have a…