South America – Page 11

19

Jan

1-19-24 SA: Discussing major differences in data vs research for February pattern progression. Details here! K.

***Please watch the entire video today as I discuss the major differences between what the data says and the research says for how this pattern progresses into February. If you have any questions, please don't hesitate to reach out...have a great weekend! -Kirk Today's video: https://youtu.be/lzvotxCDZeg?hd=1 Latest root zone soil…

17

Jan

By Kirk Hinz

1-17-24 SA: Discussing big differences between data & research for pattern next 2-4 weeks. Details here. K.

Latest video forecast: https://youtu.be/MrIAFftWceY?hd=1 Current root zone soil moisture anomaly observation: Month to date precipitation % of normal: Euro vs GFS precipitation accumulation forecast over the next week (reference video for comparison): Here's what our favored historical analogs suggest for the first half of February (using the years of 1987…

15

Jan

By Matt Griffin

1-15-24 South America: Concerns data is too wet into Mato Grosso in week 2. MG.

Good afternoon! Here is your latest South America Forecast Update: https://youtu.be/5mZxkH-TZ2s

12

Jan

By Kirk Hinz

1-12-24 SA: C. Brazil Hotter/Drier Next 2 Weeks…Discussing Late Month Wetter Risks vs Research. K.

Good Friday morning, hoping you all are doing well! Today we discuss the drier/hotter risks for central Brazil over the next 2 weeks + the data trying to return rains in that same area late in the month to early February. We also discuss what history/research tells us could happen…

10

Jan

By Kirk Hinz

1-10-24 SA: Timely rain verification update + discussing hot/drier risks ahead for central Brazil. K.

Good Wednesday morning! Today we recap the first ~1/3rd of January timely rainfall verification across Brazil + the central Brazil hotter/drier risks returning quickly (and rolling forward well). All details in the video below, please let us know if you have any questions! -Kirk Today's video: https://youtu.be/yl3uOGT-MZk?hd=1 Observed rainfall for…

08

Jan

By Kirk Hinz

1-8-24 SA: Discussing short-term rains + January pattern evolving drier ahead. K.

Good Monday morning! Today we discuss the latest on rainfall observations over the weekend + the last 7 days, and take a detailed-dive into the pattern ahead over the next 2-3 weeks vs how the MJO is evolving (and what history tells us). Latest video analysis is below, have a…

04

Jan

By Matt Griffin

1-4-24 South America: Rains the next ~7 days before drier risks loom later into JAN. MG.

Good morning! Here is your latest South America Forecast Update: https://youtu.be/tCyPzdtik5w Here is a look at the preferred week 1 rainfall amounts vs normal week 1: Here is a look at the preferred week 1 temperatures vs normal week 1: Here is a look at the preffered rainfall amounts vs…

02

Jan

By Kirk Hinz

1-2-24 SA: Recapping December + Noting Big Drier Trends on the Data. K.

*Good Tuesday morning, and Happy New Year! Today's video is a big one, recapping December, touching on the last 5-7 days of observed rainfall, update on timely rains ahead this week and concerning drier trends on all the overnight data for the next 2-4 weeks ahead. Please let us know…

29

Dec

By Matt Griffin

12-29-23 South America: Discussing Timely Rainfall Threat Ahead. K.

Good morning! Here is your latest South America Forecast Update: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nmNZEWwCUbI Past 7 day rainfall amounts: We are currently eyeing a wetter risk into early January in the areas highlighted in green below. The pattern is expected to revert to drier thereafter. Here is a look the our preferred analogs…

28

Dec

By Kirk Hinz

12-28-23 SA: Detailed January pattern analysis today. K.

*Today we discuss how the MJO is rolling forward vs 3-4 days ago (more progressive into phases 3-4), recent rainfall verifications from the past 5 days, breaking down data differences and how they are rolling forward over the next 2 weeks and sharing our top analogs for January as a…