Becks – Page 333 – BAM Weather

16

Nov

11-16-20 Long-range: Buyer beware of short term colder forecasts. Discussing Dec pattern risks via MJO.V.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/n1iXzJdq52Q?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD):11-16-20 Long Range Analysis Key Points: Cooler air behind the early week cold front in the Eastern US which will help for a couple of higher HDD days before major warmth builds mid-late this week first in…

11-15-20 Week Ahead Report: Brief cool air behind a front. Overall warmer pattern likely to persist to end November. B.

15

Nov

By Bret Walts

11-15-20 Week Ahead Report: Brief cool air behind a front. Overall warmer pattern likely to persist to end November. B.

Good afternoon. Below is the latest week ahead report: 11-15-20 Week Ahead Outlook Temperatures: Weekend trends have been warmer for our long waited notable warm period ahead of our ~Nov. 22 – 24 cold front. This period is the one that was forecasted to be very warm since late October…

13

Nov

By Vince Bryan

11-13-20 Long-range: Discussing late NOV model volatility + Updated DEC Outlooks.J.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/3T2luXpcA80?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 11-13-20 Long Range Analysis Key Points: A weekend system will provide rain from MO to IA and points east Saturday & Sunday. Majority of locations across the OH/ MO Valley likely see less than an inch…

11-13-20 South America: Going against the grain in our late month to early December forecast today…details here. K.

13

Nov

By Vince Bryan

11-13-20 South America: Going against the grain in our late month to early December forecast today…details here. K.

All the details are packed in the video today...make sure to check it out please! https://youtu.be/nB5lHifx0Ek

11-12-20 Long-range: Analyzing differences between ensemble data mid-late week 2. Discussing drivers into December. B.

12

Nov

By Vince Bryan

11-12-20 Long-range: Analyzing differences between ensemble data mid-late week 2. Discussing drivers into December. B.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/_nlx6eW6kfs?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 11-12-20 Long Range Analysis The next week will be drier than normal for many areas in the W Ag Belt with some rain looking likely in the MO Valley and Ohio Valley as we work into…

11-11-20 South America: Quick note on drier changes on today’s new model runs. K.

11

Nov

By Vince Bryan

11-11-20 South America: Quick note on drier changes on today’s new model runs. K.

Good afternoon! If you watched my video this morning you know I was favoring the GFS American data for precipitation over the next 2 weeks. I wanted to shoot over a quick side-by-side of the new GFS 12z operational model vs the 0z run overnight...I highlighted the area that actually…

11-11-20 Long-range: Warmth expands again later next week. Breakdown of the pattern progression into December. B.

11

Nov

By Vince Bryan

11-11-20 Long-range: Warmth expands again later next week. Breakdown of the pattern progression into December. B.

Updated pattern progression timeline into early December in the notes slide today. Pattern thoughts have not changed for the next two weeks, so no updated video. Check back in tomorrow and Friday for an updated video analysis. PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 11-11-20 Long Range…

11-11-20 South America: Eyeing our long-advertised pattern setting up shop ahead…latest details here. K.

11

Nov

By Vince Bryan

11-11-20 South America: Eyeing our long-advertised pattern setting up shop ahead…latest details here. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/K4rtXVPewR0?hd=1 Soil moisture anomaly vs 1 month ago: Favored week 1 guidance: Updated week 2 official outlooks:

11-10-20 Long-range: Analyzing top analogs into December with warmth continuing as the theme. Watching risks associated with the Polar Vortex. B.

10

Nov

By Vince Bryan

11-10-20 Long-range: Analyzing top analogs into December with warmth continuing as the theme. Watching risks associated with the Polar Vortex. B.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/pOeFUAzIVeo?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 11-10-20 Long-Range Analysis Key Points: Recording breaking warmth today in the Eastern US following record warmth over the weekend in many areas in the Great Lakes and Midwest. This warmth continues over the next few days…

11-10-20 South America: Quick thoughts on drier south model changes for week 2 overnight. K.

10

Nov

By Vince Bryan

11-10-20 South America: Quick thoughts on drier south model changes for week 2 overnight. K.

Good Tuesday morning! Typically on Tuesday's I don't issue much in terms of an SA update...but the model changes overnight fell right in line to what we discussed in the video yesterday. Let me know if you have any questions, have a blessed day! -Kirk Week 2 discussion: As mentioned…