7-18-19 Long-range: Pattern evolution thoughts ahead remain consistent – Short-term heat, big cool shot next week…up-and-down first half of August? K.

7-18-19 Long-range: Pattern evolution thoughts ahead remain consistent – Short-term heat, big cool shot next week…up-and-down first half of August? K.

***No updated video analysis today, we've evaluated the latest research and have verified our thoughts of the pattern ahead are consistent to what we've mentioned all week. We will have an updated video Friday for our updated week's 3/4 forecast and August pattern evolution as a whole. Have a blessed day! -Kirk PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): Link: 7-18-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Excessive Heat Warnings from the Plains to the Ohio Valley and even in the Northeast through the weekend. Cold front Sunday has sped up and will allow for cooler and drier risks for…
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7-18-19 IA/NE: Excessive heat through Saturday – weekend cold front brings a storm threat followed by a cool-down. N.

Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Q-oHK8ABV8&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 Storms over Iowa this morning will fade and move out through the day, with hot sunshine replacing it for the afternoon.  As mentioned in the video, we'll target a storm chance for far Northern Iowa tonight.....then dry and sunny Friday.  Friday night, mainly after midnight, a storm threat can sneak back into Northern Iowa and perhaps northern Nebraska.  However - MOST of us are storm free through Friday night.  Watch the video above for more details! Best threat of storms arrives Saturday pm-night, then on Sunday, chances shift south of I-80, with most of the area now looking…
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Thursday Weather Package

Thursday Weather Package

Good morning!  Here are the updated 7-day forecasts: Good morning!  We are watching a storm cluster in northern Illinois and southern Wisconsin which will try to move southeast into parts of northern Indiana later this morning into about mid-afternoon....it will track along a building gradient of instability and could produce strong winds and heavy rain.  However, many areas especially as you head into central Indiana remain dry today, with just a brief spotty chance mainly this morning through about mid-afternoon.   Total rain next 48 hours: This model is overdoing coverage in central Indiana....keep in mind the main risk we…
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7-18-19 Illinois: Storms in northern IL this AM….big-time heat into the weekend. N.

7-18-19 Illinois: Storms in northern IL this AM….big-time heat into the weekend. N.

Video: http://youtu.be/A2C1ayDlR2A?hd=1 Total rain over the past 24 hours: Several high wind reports in western Illinois yesterday: Heavy storms target northern Illinois this morning....areas from Freeport too Waukegan to near Chicago could pick up 1-2" of rainfall as this passes before noon.   This could produce some wind damage as well.  The afternoon is dry and hot.   Forecast heat index over the next 4 days: Wind forecast over the next 4 days: Forecast precipitation Saturday-Monday AM:  Chicago: Peoria: Effingham: Carbondale: Quincy:
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7-18-19 Ohio: Outside storm chance NW…otherwise, very warm / dry into the weekend…turning quite a bit cooler into next week. K.

7-18-19 Ohio: Outside storm chance NW…otherwise, very warm / dry into the weekend…turning quite a bit cooler into next week. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/s9xbam3SSjI?hd=1 Observed rainfall over the past 24 hours: For most of us today, it's pretty much a completely dry day. However, we think there's an outside shot that the storm cluster that's currently pushing south hard across southern Wisconsin can make it into areas like Defiance, Findlay and Lima later this afternoon in a weakened state: Total rainfall guidance regarding our precipitation chances today and tomorrow...as we mentioned in the video, we are somewhat suspect of how far south the guidance is with additional shower coverage to the northern into tomorrow morning...for the ridge of high pressure is…
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7-18-19 Indiana: Discussing storm risks mainly north today & major heat into the weekend. N.

7-18-19 Indiana: Discussing storm risks mainly north today & major heat into the weekend. N.

Video: http://youtu.be/cHjHoaRHs6c?hd=1 Good morning!  We are watching a storm cluster in northern Illinois and southern Wisconsin which will try to move southeast into parts of northern Indiana later this morning into about mid-afternoon....it will track along a building gradient of instability and could produce strong winds and heavy rain.  However, many areas especially as you head into central Indiana remain dry today, with just a brief spotty chance mainly this morning through about mid-afternoon.   Total rain next 48 hours: This model is overdoing coverage in central Indiana....keep in mind the main risk we are watching is up north in…
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7-18-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Discussing storm cluster risks / excessive heat in the short-term + extended cool down next week. K.

7-18-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Discussing storm cluster risks / excessive heat in the short-term + extended cool down next week. K.

Have a blessed day! -Kirk PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): Link: 7-18-19 AM Ag Weather Checkup Key Points: The big story yesterday was the 800 mile long MCS (storm cluster) that had barreled its way from central South Dakota through Iowa, western Illinois to eastern Missouri yesterday, bring widespread 0.5-1.5”+ rainfall and winds noted 60-80mph / widespread wind damage reports the whole way through. We currently have another fairly widespread cluster of storms and heavy rainfall across SE Minnesota, NE Iowa and southern WI this morning, which we anticipate to potentially continue to trek south into…
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7-17-19 Missouri Short Term Update: Storms continue to push southeast tonight… major heat setting in tomorrow through the weekend. MG.

Good Evening!  Here is your latest forecast update video: http://youtu.be/vjBbjnqc0YU?hd=1 Storms continue to push south east in eastern/ southern portions of the state this evening.  Some strong storms will be possible for the remainder of the night with strong winds and and heavy downpours.  Storms look to largely be out of the state by tomorrow morning.  Major heat is expected to develop for the remainder of the week with Heat Index values pushing 100+ F across much of the state. Here is a look at simulated radar from 8 PM CDT tonight through 4 AM tomorrow: Here is a look…
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7-17-19 Iowa Short Term Update: Discussing storm potential across northern parts of the state tonight… major heat coming tomorrow. MG.

Good evening!  Here is your latest Iowa Short Term Update Video: http://youtu.be/J5s7n2Lp6V4?hd=1 Scattered storms will once again be possible in northern portions of the state tonight as some upper-level energy works its way around an upper level ridge.  There are still some model differences but it seems likely that northern parts of Iowa could see more thunderstorms activity with potential strong winds, hail, and heavy downpours.  Some serious heat sets in tomorrow with heat index values lingering around 105 F during the afternoon.   Here is a look at simulated radar from 7 PM tonight through 9 AM tomorrow: Here…
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7-17-19 Minnesota Short Term Update: Active period of weather this afternoon into tonight across much of the state. MG.

Good evening!  Here is your latest Minnesota short term update: http://youtu.be/Q_-0ZVGB3Vg?hd=1 There are two areas of concern for storm activity this afternoon and into tonight.  The first region in in northern Minnesota where ongoing thunderstorms are already ongoing in northern parts of the state.  As of 4:08 CDT, a storm just south of  Warroad, Minnesota is severe and tornado warned for winds of 60 mph, golf ball sized hail, and a potential tornado. The second area will be along a warm front in southern Minnesota near the Iowa border tonight.  These storms look to develop later in the evening where…
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