Becks – Page 323 – BAM Weather

22

Jan

1-22-21 Long Range: Discussing drivers behind warm start to February. How long it lasts and risks late for the late February pattern. B.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/ErsOQ1-h2P0?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open slides in HD): 01-22-21 Long-Range Analysis Key Points: A Midwest system developing early next week is expected to bring a mix of precip in the Midwest and East. IL, IN, OH, PA, and NJ most notably mixing snow…

1-21-21 Long-range: Discussing overnight model corrections back to warm + top analogs for February. M.

21

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-21-21 Long-range: Discussing overnight model corrections back to warm + top analogs for February. M.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/PYZLJtyX6w0?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open slides in HD): Bret Long-Range Analysis 1-21 Key Points: Data has continued to be volatile in the extended range. Of course, generally data has rolled forward warmer and aside from a few of these rogue colder runs, the…

1-21-21 South America: Pattern flipping from north to south late January to early February…latest details here. K.

21

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-21-21 South America: Pattern flipping from north to south late January to early February…latest details here. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/MupDFaBQVvo?hd=1 Week 1 forecasts: Week 2 forecasts:

1-20-21 Special PM Update: Updated February Outlooks

20

Jan

By Bret Walts

1-20-21 Special PM Update: Updated February Outlooks

Good afternoon everyone! We wanted to send over our update February forecast thoughts this afternoon. Below you will find our latest discussion with the main pattern drivers and risks. We will do one final update before January ends late next week. - Bret February Forecast Temperatures: No major changes with…

1-20-21 Long-range: Persistent warmer trends continue…expanding above normal temps into February. K.

20

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-20-21 Long-range: Persistent warmer trends continue…expanding above normal temps into February. K.

*No updated video analysis today. We will be sending out an updated February forecast this afternoon so be on the lookout for that. Have a blessed day! -Kirk PDF report (click link to the right to open slides in HD): 01-20-21 Long-Range Analysis Key Points: A few wintry systems in the…

1-20-21 South America: Quick update on latest soil moisture anomalies + eyeing precip issues for central Argentina/Brazil ahead. K.

20

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-20-21 South America: Quick update on latest soil moisture anomalies + eyeing precip issues for central Argentina/Brazil ahead. K.

*No updated video analysis today, as my thoughts versus yesterday are unchanged. I have updated the forecast outlooks for the next 2 weeks below, please reach out if you have any questions. Chat tomorrow tomorrow AM! Updated soil moisture anomaly vs 1 month ago: Favored week 1 precipitation forecast is…

1-19-21 Long Range: Warmer signals growing for February. Analyzing top pattern drivers and risks for week’s 3/4. B.

19

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-19-21 Long Range: Warmer signals growing for February. Analyzing top pattern drivers and risks for week’s 3/4. B.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/z80ncLIMnG4?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open slides in HD): Long-Range Analysis 1-19 Key Points: Major warmer trends in models over the weekend as they have continued to correct away from the cold trends seen early this month. MJO signals continue into phase 4 and…

1-19-21 South America: Breaking down the atmospheric pattern drivers & research for Feb forecast. K.

19

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-19-21 South America: Breaking down the atmospheric pattern drivers & research for Feb forecast. K.

Today's video: https://youtu.be/yFZMdMSLj14 Week 1 outlooks: Week 2 outlooks:

1-18-21 Long-range: MJO likely culprit behind major model errors and subsequent weekend warmer corrections. B.

18

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-18-21 Long-range: MJO likely culprit behind major model errors and subsequent weekend warmer corrections. B.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/B14w9k5qh1M?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 1-18-21 Long-Range Analysis Key Points: Major warmer trends on data over the weekend as they have corrected away from their bigger cold idea at the end of their runs. As we discussed Friday, issues with the…

1-18-21 South America: Recapping weekends rains + discussing latest precipitation trends into early February. K.

18

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-18-21 South America: Recapping weekends rains + discussing latest precipitation trends into early February. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/miOrqK_xv4g?hd=1 Weekend rainfall observations: Week 1 forecast: Week 2 forecast: