Author: Kirk Hinz

Good morning! I spent a lot of time pouring over research today as we head into February and the dry/hot pattern growing for Argentina and a pattern of extremes developing across central Brazil as well (east vs west). A lot of great content provided in today's video, please let us…

Good morning! Today we spent some extra time discussing how we foresee the pattern progression ahead over the next few months for SA, regarding precip and temps vs normal. Please let us know if you have any questions, have a blessed day! -Kirk Today's video: https://youtu.be/UNc1iQUqoXg?hd=1 January month to date…

***Please watch the entire video today as I discuss the major differences between what the data says and the research says for how this pattern progresses into February. If you have any questions, please don't hesitate to reach out...have a great weekend! -Kirk Today's video: https://youtu.be/lzvotxCDZeg?hd=1 Latest root zone soil…

Latest video forecast: https://youtu.be/MrIAFftWceY?hd=1 Current root zone soil moisture anomaly observation: Month to date precipitation % of normal: Euro vs GFS precipitation accumulation forecast over the next week (reference video for comparison): Here's what our favored historical analogs suggest for the first half of February (using the years of 1987…

Good Friday morning, hoping you all are doing well! Today we discuss the drier/hotter risks for central Brazil over the next 2 weeks + the data trying to return rains in that same area late in the month to early February. We also discuss what history/research tells us could happen…

Good Wednesday morning! Today we recap the first ~1/3rd of January timely rainfall verification across Brazil + the central Brazil hotter/drier risks returning quickly (and rolling forward well). All details in the video below, please let us know if you have any questions! -Kirk Today's video: https://youtu.be/yl3uOGT-MZk?hd=1 Observed rainfall for…

Good Monday morning! Today we discuss the latest on rainfall observations over the weekend + the last 7 days, and take a detailed-dive into the pattern ahead over the next 2-3 weeks vs how the MJO is evolving (and what history tells us). Latest video analysis is below, have a…

*Good Tuesday morning, and Happy New Year! Today's video is a big one, recapping December, touching on the last 5-7 days of observed rainfall, update on timely rains ahead this week and concerning drier trends on all the overnight data for the next 2-4 weeks ahead. Please let us know…

*Today we discuss how the MJO is rolling forward vs 3-4 days ago (more progressive into phases 3-4), recent rainfall verifications from the past 5 days, breaking down data differences and how they are rolling forward over the next 2 weeks and sharing our top analogs for January as a…

Good morning, hope you all are well and had a blessed Christmas! Today we spend time recapping recent rainfall verifications, which model his handling this pattern better as we roll-forward, and how are things trending for January across SA. If you have any questions, please don't hesitate to reach out!…