Kirk Hinz – Page 25 – BAM Weather

23

Dec

12-23-21 AM Energy Report: Data trends warmer overnight…discussing lack of impactful cold potential into early Jan. B.

Holiday Forecast Schedule: PDF report: ---> click here to open slides in HD <--- Key Points: Overnight Trends: The overnight runs of the EPS and the GEFS once again got a good bit warmer and lost several HDDs on the roll forward from yesterday’s week 2. This continues to be the…

22

Dec

By Kirk Hinz

12-22-21 Long-range: Honing in on the pattern over the next few weeks. Detailed discussion today. M.

Today's video: https://youtu.be/vGfIKEQ_Bcs Notes slide - Early to Mid-January Risk Assessment: Discussion: Data is keen on seeping cold air south by the late week 2/early week 3 timeframe. They key to the duration and eastward expansion of this cold air is the evolution of the MJO. If we can work…

22

Dec

By Kirk Hinz

12-22-21 AM Energy Report: Colder trends in the 10-15 day…discussing the potential + durability ahead. B.

Holiday forecast schedule: PDF report: ---> click here to open slides in HD <--- Key Points: Overnight Trends: Both the EPS and the GEFS gained points in the extended range [10 – 15 day timeframe] for early January, but lost several points the first 7 – 10 days of the run.…

21

Dec

By Kirk Hinz

12-21-21 Long-range: Tough forecast ahead…breaking down all the risks heading into the New Year. M.

Christmas forecast update schedule: Today's video: https://youtu.be/PihDuMI_CqY PDF report: ---> click here to open slides in HD <--- A rather inactive pattern will continue across much of the Central US as the active pattern continues in the Pacific NW that is bringing rounds of rain and snow. Clipper systems also…

12-20-21 Long-range: Latest details on warmer trends near Christmas and pattern evolution into the New Year. B.

20

Dec

By Kirk Hinz

12-20-21 Long-range: Latest details on warmer trends near Christmas and pattern evolution into the New Year. B.

Christmas week forecast schedule: Today's video: https://youtu.be/IOur9sbtQlA PDF report: ---> click here to open in HD <--- Key Points: Overall the pattern this week is pretty quiet with no major storm systems targeted in the medium range. We once again will have breezy conditions across the Central Plains into the…

20

Dec

By Kirk Hinz

12-20-21 AM Energy Report: Discussing weekend warmer roll-forward changes + late Dec/early Jan pattern progression. B.

Your latest AM Energy report is below + Christmas week update schedule. Have a blessed day! -Bret PDF report: ---> click here to open in HD <--- Key Points: Weekend Trends: The biggest trend over the weekend for the previous week 2 period has been a consistent roll forward especially on…

12-16-21 AM Energy Report: Big swing on data to increasing cooler risks in week 2. Details here. B.

16

Dec

By Kirk Hinz

12-16-21 AM Energy Report: Big swing on data to increasing cooler risks in week 2. Details here. B.

Your latest AM energy report is below, have a blessed day -Bret PDF report: ---> click here to open slides in high definition <--- Key Points: Overnight Trends: Following rather notable warmer trends yesterday, the EPS and the GEFS trended colder and gained back the HDDs they lost and in the case of…

15

Dec

By Kirk Hinz

12-15-21 Long-range: Overnight model trends step in the right direction – why cold can still come late this month. B.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/lF0X60btyBE?hd=1 PDF report: ---> click here to open slides in high definition <--- Key Points: Wild weather today for the heart of the country: High Wind Warnings for much of the Central Plains and parts of the Midwest/N. Plains. Winter Weather Advisories for South Dakotas, MN and ND.…

15

Dec

By Kirk Hinz

12-15-21 AM Energy Report: Key hints still suggest late December colder risks. Details here. B.

Your latest AM Energy report is below, have a blessed day -Bret PDF report: ---> click here to open <--- Key Points: Overnight Trends: There weren’t major changes overnight on the data, but both models generally rolled forward a little bit colder than yesterday and are less warm in the 10…

14

Dec

By Kirk Hinz

12-14-21 AM Energy Report: Blocking increasing cold for Europe ahead…model volatility continues for US pattern progression. B.

Your latest AM Energy report is below, have a blessed day -Bret PDF report: ---> click here to open slides in HD <--- Key Points: Overnight Trends: The run-run variability continued overnight with the ensemble data continued with a big flip-flop again between the EPS and the GEFS. Colder trends on…