Agriculture – Page 339

3-16-20 Long-range: Discussing a wet week and analyzing top analogs into April. B.

16

Mar

3-16-20 Long-range: Discussing a wet week and analyzing top analogs into April. B.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/tJyXJljHcYk?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 3-16-20 Long Range Analysis Key Points: This week will be very active with heavy rainfall and potentially severe weather chances. Excessive rainfall threats will be prevalent in parts of the MS/OH Valley. Temperatures will get very…

15

Mar

By Vince Bryan

3-15-20 Weeks Ahead Outlook.V.

Good Sunday Afternoon! Below is your latest weeks ahead outlook: Temps: The current Week 1 has roll forwarded nicely as it looks very similar to last week’s Week 2. The combination of a –PNA, -EPO, and +NAO is leading to a warm east cool west pattern. Our warmth will mainly…

3-13-20 Long Range: La Niña-like tendencies develop and influence the pattern into April. B.

13

Mar

By Bret Walts

3-13-20 Long Range: La Niña-like tendencies develop and influence the pattern into April. B.

Good morning everyone. No new video forecast today, please refer to yesterday's video for a short-term and summer pattern discussion. Be sure to read the week's 3/4 slide for our official thoughts into April. Yesterday's Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k2guAaZ4zuU&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 Long Range Slides (Click below to view in HD): 3-13 Long Range Analysis…

3-12-20 Long-range: Analyzing warm risks late March into April. Detailed discussion of Summer Forecast. B.

12

Mar

By Vince Bryan

3-12-20 Long-range: Analyzing warm risks late March into April. Detailed discussion of Summer Forecast. B.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/k2guAaZ4zuU?hd=1 If you missed it yesterday, here is our first jump into a preliminary summer forecast + research: PDF summer report (click link below to open in HD): 2020 Summer Prelim Today's long-range PDF report (click link below to open in HD): 3-12-20 Long Range Analysis Key Points:…

11

Mar

By Vince Bryan

3-11-20 BAM Preliminary Summer Ideas.

Long-range models often times struggle in the extended range with ENSO forecasts. Based on previous research, the IOD/QBO can sometimes be used an indicators of the upcoming ENSO evolution. This year had the strongest +IOD on record and among other strong +IOD years, the ENSO state evolved into cool-neutral or…

3-11-20 Long-range: Updated April Forecasts + discussing important signals into the growing season. B.

11

Mar

By Vince Bryan

3-11-20 Long-range: Updated April Forecasts + discussing important signals into the growing season. B.

Today's video: https://youtu.be/gBRdDIcm54w PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 3-11-20 Long Range Analysis Key Points: Very warm week 1 overall especially in the Eastern US. Clearly feeling some MJO Phase 6/7 here even as the MJO weakens. With a building thermal gradient, it is clear…

3-10-20 Long-range: Keeping an eye on mid-late March severe chances. Discussing global pattern drivers and implications in the short/long term. B.

10

Mar

By Vince Bryan

3-10-20 Long-range: Keeping an eye on mid-late March severe chances. Discussing global pattern drivers and implications in the short/long term. B.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/UbkRn6yENg0?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 3-10 Long Range Analysis Key Points: Very warm week 1 overall especially in the Eastern US. Clearly feeling some MJO Phase 6/7 here even as the MJO weakens. Still some residual split flow effects, but it’s…

3-9-20 Long-range: An active pattern develops with severe weather chances. Growing season talk. B.

09

Mar

By Vince Bryan

3-9-20 Long-range: An active pattern develops with severe weather chances. Growing season talk. B.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/1tTqRUKrmHU?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 3-9 Long Range Analysis Key Points: Very warm week 1 overall especially in the Eastern US. Clearly feeling some MJO Phase 5/6 here even as the MJO weakens. Still some residual split flow effects, but it’s…

08

Mar

By Vince Bryan

3-8-20 Weeks Ahead Outlook.V.

Good Sunday Afternoon! Here is your weeks ahead forecast! Temps: Week 1 shows widespread warmth across the US thanks to a very strong - PNA, + NAO/ AO, and MJO sitting in the warmer phases (weak amplitude phases 5/6). The one cooler risk we are watching is the very end…

3-6-20 Long Range: Discussing uptick in severe weather chances and warmer pattern persisting into late March.V.

06

Mar

By Vince Bryan

3-6-20 Long Range: Discussing uptick in severe weather chances and warmer pattern persisting into late March.V.

Good Friday Morning! Below is today's video: http://youtu.be/wojRWKYFu-c?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 3-6-20 Long Range Analysis Key Points: Cooler air today gives way to widespread warmth into the weekend and early next week. No major storm systems in the cards the next 7-days…