Agriculture – Page 295

1-21-21 Long-range: Discussing overnight model corrections back to warm + top analogs for February. M.

21

Jan

1-21-21 Long-range: Discussing overnight model corrections back to warm + top analogs for February. M.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/PYZLJtyX6w0?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open slides in HD): Bret Long-Range Analysis 1-21 Key Points: Data has continued to be volatile in the extended range. Of course, generally data has rolled forward warmer and aside from a few of these rogue colder runs, the…

1-20-21 Special PM Update: Updated February Outlooks

20

Jan

By Bret Walts

1-20-21 Special PM Update: Updated February Outlooks

Good afternoon everyone! We wanted to send over our update February forecast thoughts this afternoon. Below you will find our latest discussion with the main pattern drivers and risks. We will do one final update before January ends late next week. - Bret February Forecast Temperatures: No major changes with…

1-20-21 Long-range: Persistent warmer trends continue…expanding above normal temps into February. K.

20

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-20-21 Long-range: Persistent warmer trends continue…expanding above normal temps into February. K.

*No updated video analysis today. We will be sending out an updated February forecast this afternoon so be on the lookout for that. Have a blessed day! -Kirk PDF report (click link to the right to open slides in HD): 01-20-21 Long-Range Analysis Key Points: A few wintry systems in the…

1-19-21 Long Range: Warmer signals growing for February. Analyzing top pattern drivers and risks for week’s 3/4. B.

19

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-19-21 Long Range: Warmer signals growing for February. Analyzing top pattern drivers and risks for week’s 3/4. B.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/z80ncLIMnG4?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open slides in HD): Long-Range Analysis 1-19 Key Points: Major warmer trends in models over the weekend as they have continued to correct away from the cold trends seen early this month. MJO signals continue into phase 4 and…

1-18-21 Long-range: MJO likely culprit behind major model errors and subsequent weekend warmer corrections. B.

18

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-18-21 Long-range: MJO likely culprit behind major model errors and subsequent weekend warmer corrections. B.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/B14w9k5qh1M?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 1-18-21 Long-Range Analysis Key Points: Major warmer trends on data over the weekend as they have corrected away from their bigger cold idea at the end of their runs. As we discussed Friday, issues with the…

1-15-21 Long-range: Discussing volatile model trends and favored pattern evolution into February. B.

15

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-15-21 Long-range: Discussing volatile model trends and favored pattern evolution into February. B.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/hmMELAQfe8s?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 01-15-21 Long-Range Analysis Key Points: Model trends may be volatile late into Week 2, but generally expecting the warmer trends that have occurred the past week to persist as we get closer to the forecast dates.…

1-14-21 Long-range: Discussing the risks to using model data late week 2 + more active pattern likely into late January. B.

14

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-14-21 Long-range: Discussing the risks to using model data late week 2 + more active pattern likely into late January. B.

*No new video today as our thoughts from yesterday remain consistent. We continue to be cautious of volatile model runs suggesting cold especially for the last 3 - 4 days of the model run. Models are struggling with the lack of an arctic air source due to the main polar vortex…

1-13-21 Long-range: Analyzing precipitation trends into late January. Looking ahead at analogs for spring/summer. B.

13

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-13-21 Long-range: Analyzing precipitation trends into late January. Looking ahead at analogs for spring/summer. B.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/3p9-rOnOt_8?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 01-13-21 Long-Range Analysis Key Points: A train of “clipper systems” are anticipated throughout the next week or two. Due to the proximity of systems, tight pressure gradients produce high winds, concentrated in the central US over…

1-12-21 Long-range: Pattern change arrives to close week 2. Updated week’s 3/4 forecast + discussing risks for a warmer February. B.

12

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-12-21 Long-range: Pattern change arrives to close week 2. Updated week’s 3/4 forecast + discussing risks for a warmer February. B.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/jCMo3RBrQUc?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): Bret Long-Range Analysis 1-12 Key Points: A train of “clipper systems” is still anticipated across the northern US which will at least provide multiple chances for snow/ rain into these areas. The key for any bigger…

11

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-11-21 Long-range: Lack of arctic air giving data issues in week 2. Discussing the risks and developing SE US ridge late January. B.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/nh0zvx8S7Cw?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open in hi-definition): 1-11-21 Long Range Analysis Key Points: As expected this week’s precipitation chances will shift north with the development of weak clipper systems across the northern tier of the US following a few southern sliders over the…