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Author: Bret Walts

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11-14-21 Week Ahead Report: Data continues to be a bit volatile, but overall thoughts remain consistent from Friday. B.
14
Nov
By Bret Walts

11-14-21 Week Ahead Report: Data continues to be a bit volatile, but overall thoughts remain consistent from Friday. B.

Good afternoon evening. Below is your latest Week Ahead Report:  11-14-21 WeekAhead Outlook AG: No major rainfall over the weekend with a lot of the precipitation coming in the form of snow in the Upper-Midwest and Northern Plains (even the Ohio Valley). Over the next week, we’re looking at a…
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11-12-21 Early AM Energy Report: Details on colder trends over the past 24 hours and durability of cooler risks. B.
12
Nov
By Bret Walts

11-12-21 Early AM Energy Report: Details on colder trends over the past 24 hours and durability of cooler risks. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report: 11-12-21 AM Energy Check Up The overnight EPS trended a touch cooler again, mainly with slightly cooler trends in the Eastern US late week 2. Both the EPS and the GEFS did trend a bit colder behind our front late…
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11-11-21 Early AM Energy Report: Latest details on pattern volatility and overnight model trends. B.
11
Nov
By Bret Walts

11-11-21 Early AM Energy Report: Latest details on pattern volatility and overnight model trends. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report: 11-11-21 AM Energy Check Up The overnight EPS trended a bit warmer late week 1 into early week 2 ahead of our storm system more like what the GEFS had yesterday, though it did trend colder behind this system, keeping…
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11-10-21 Early AM Energy Report: Mid-Late November trending towards ups/downs and lack of persistent cold threats. Details here. B.
10
Nov
By Bret Walts

11-10-21 Early AM Energy Report: Mid-Late November trending towards ups/downs and lack of persistent cold threats. Details here. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  11-10-21 AM Energy Check Up No major changes overnight on the ensemble data for the next two weeks – generally more of the same with colder trends behind storm systems and warmer trends ahead of them. We also saw continued…
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11-9-21 Early AM Energy Report: Data continues to diverge in the extended range. Latest risks and forecast thoughts. B.
09
Nov
By Bret Walts

11-9-21 Early AM Energy Report: Data continues to diverge in the extended range. Latest risks and forecast thoughts. B.

Good morning everyone, below is your latest AM Energy Report:  11-9-21 AM Energy Check Up Data continues to be volatile in the extended range – especially on the operational data with big swings in the GFS on the last few runs. This represents some of the uncertainty we tried to…
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11-8-21 Early AM Energy Report: Cold shot remains on tap late week 1, conflicting signals arise late week 2. B.
08
Nov
By Bret Walts

11-8-21 Early AM Energy Report: Cold shot remains on tap late week 1, conflicting signals arise late week 2. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  11-8-21 AM Energy Check Up Looking at our week ahead from Friday afternoon, our week 1 forecast was 92.5 for what is now week 1 and 136 for week 2. For verification purposes our latest week 1 is 93.5 (1…
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11-5-21 Early AM Energy Report: Latest discussion on pattern evolution mid-late month and risks to the forecast. B.
05
Nov
By Bret Walts

11-5-21 Early AM Energy Report: Latest discussion on pattern evolution mid-late month and risks to the forecast. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  11-5-21 AM Energy Check Up Week 1 HDDs continue to fall as we slowly work out the colder air in the Eastern US and warm up quite notably as we work into next week. Warmth really starts to build in…
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11-4-21 Early AM Energy Report: Warmer trends overnight, keeping an eye on risks between storm systems, but overall thoughts remain unchanged. B.
04
Nov
By Bret Walts

11-4-21 Early AM Energy Report: Warmer trends overnight, keeping an eye on risks between storm systems, but overall thoughts remain unchanged. B.

Good morning everyone, below is your latest AM Energy Report:  11-4-21 AM Energy Check Up Week 1 HDDs continue to drop as we work into the warmer period that really ramps up this weekend and spreads eastward into next week. Data is still suggesting a stronger storm system into next…
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11-3-21 AM Energy Report: Data seeing cooler transition starting late week 2. B.
03
Nov
By Bret Walts

11-3-21 AM Energy Report: Data seeing cooler transition starting late week 2. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  11-3-21 AM Energy Check Up The overnight data trended a touch warmer in week 1 but nothing major – though we are seeing fairly big differences in HDDs between the European and the American data. The American data is nearly…
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11-2-21 PM EPS Energy Report: Warmer trends continue for next week. Cooler trends for mid-month. B.
02
Nov
By Bret Walts

11-2-21 PM EPS Energy Report: Warmer trends continue for next week. Cooler trends for mid-month. B.

Good afternoon everyone. Below is your latest PM Energy Report:  11-2-21 PM Energy Report MID-DAY EPS CHANGES: The EPS once again trended warmer in the E. US late in the week 1 period, continuing to speed up the exit of cold into next week. These warmer trends continued east in…
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