Bret Walts – Page 108

02

Jan

1-2-22 Week Ahead Report: Warmer pattern signals persist into Mid-January. Updated February outlooks. B.

Good afternoon everyone and Happy New Year. Data continues to generally run very warm over the next 2 weeks in comparison of 10 and 30 year normal GWHDD values across the board on model guidance. However, as the chart above notes, the HDDs do generally remain higher than the week…

30

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-30-22 AM Energy Report: Subtle East Coast cooler trends, but HDDs remain below normal. B.

Good morning everyone, below is your latest AM Energy Report: NOTES: No major changes overnight, but slight cooler trends once again on the GEFS especially on the East Coast in the week 2 period. The orientation on the GEFS towards the end of the run is resembling our analogs for an…

29

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-29-22 PM Energy Report: Cooler mid-day models trends. Discussing whether they have merit. B.

Good afternoon everyone, below is your latest PM Energy Report: https://soundcloud.com/user-931581162/12-29-22-pmenergy/s-qJQ9UcPR6yE?si=0d392420c2b34439aed03eba6bdb7db0&utm_source=clipboard&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=social_sharing 12-29-22 PM Energy Check Up

12-29-22 AM Energy Report: No changes to warm thoughts for the first third of January. B.

29

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-29-22 AM Energy Report: No changes to warm thoughts for the first third of January. B.

Good morning everyone, below is your latest AM Energy Report: Notes: No changes to our thoughts this morning over the next few weeks. The GEFS is trying to hint at a moderation towards the day 14/15 timeframe, but we want to note that the risk to the moderation idea mid-month at…

28

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-28-22 PM Energy Report: More warmer trends on mid-day run. Pattern signals remain very warm. B.

Good afternoon everyone, below is your latest PM Energy Report: 12_28_22_PMEnergy

28

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-28-22 AM Energy Report: Warmer air continues to linger through week 2. B.

Good morning everyone, below is your latest AM Energy Report: Notes: No major changes again overnight. The EPS got a bit warmer towards the end, but HDDs in week 2 are generally rising as the warmest air works into week 1. That said, we still do not see any notable…

27

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-27-22 PM Energy Report: Slight warmer trends the next 2 weeks. Warm forecast persistent. B.

Good afternoon everyone, below is your latest PM Energy Report: 12-27-22 PM Energy Check Up

27

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-27-22 AM Energy Report: Warm signals remains steady to close 2022, start 2023. B.

Good morning everyone, below is your latest AM Energy Report: NOTES: No major changes overnight... the next two weeks look to run very warm overall with much below normal heating demand. Regarding any kind of a pattern flip, there remain no strong signals for a better Polar Vortex placement which…

26

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-26-22 Week Ahead Outlook: Detailed analysis of early Jan warmth, mid-month pattern transition. B.

Good afternoon everyone. We hope that all of you had a Merry Christmas and are having a Happy Holiday season. Today's Week Ahead discussion will focus on a major pattern flip to close 2022 and start 2023 and our updated January thoughts. Overall, model agreement for very low demand and…

23

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-23-22 AM Energy Report: Overall pattern runs warm to start January. B.

Good morning everyone, below is your latest AM Energy Report: NOTES: The overnight EPS once again trended warmer as the week 2 period is expected to run substantially warmer than normal for the Eastern US. This is not dissimilar to how both November and December started with warmth. That said,…