Key Points – Monday, May 15, 2o17:
Synopsis: Good Monday morning, we hope you all had a wonderful Mother’s Day weekend! The forecast this week is highly complex, some folks get in on the showers and storms, some may not see a drop of rain especially further east, which is why we highly encourage everyone to pay close attention to the daily short-range updates. Overall, it’s a very warm week the next 7 days, with multiple days likely in the 80s. Have a blessed day!
Current radar: need to watch this complex in South Dakota this morning as it treks further east throughout the day…think this could clip the northern tier of the Zones late tonight into Tuesday morning.
Mostly sunny skies today, temps in the 70s/lower 80s…as noted in the video, need to watch this piece of energy scooting through northern IL/IN later tonight for showers and storms…these like to dive south and east despite what models may forecast.
Overall, it’s a very warm week across the Midwest with most hitting the upper 70s to 80s each day…here’s a look at temperatures from normal, consistently 5º+.
Most of Tuesday is dry, we do think later on Wednesday into Thursday and on the day on Friday there’s a chance for scattered storms.
Then Saturday into Sunday is that storm complex ~20th/21st that we’ve been targeting for nearly 2 weeks for potential stronger storms and heavier rains…starting to see this take shape on the latest European model.
7 day rainfall totals shows the haves and the have-nots very well, some stay dry (especially further east), some see 1.0″+ in heavier storms…just depends on where the storms set up, which is something likely targeted ~24 hours out. Stay glued to the forecast this week and let us know if you have any questions!
Confidence and Risk:
- High confidence overall temperatures will be above normal over the next week for this time of year.
- Above average risk for showers and storms overnight across the northern Midwest, something we need to watch unfold as the day progresses.
- Average confidence scattered showers and storms possible mid-to-late week, especially the further west your location.
- Below average confidence in the specifics, but we continue to see a solid storm complex move through this weekend that we’ve been targeting for quite some time.
Today’s video (7 min):