Key Points – Tuesday, March 21, 2017:
Synopsis: Today we discuss some lingering fog hanging around the eastern Zone locations, our next chance for showers and storms late week into the weekend, the above normal warmth and the activity continuing to ramp up in the weather department. Have a blessed day!
Dense fog advisories still active across eastern Indiana, southern Michigan and western Ohio until later this morning for patchy dense fog…I do think this burns off to a mix sun and clouds today and temps in the 50s and 60s across the Midwest.
A very small chance for some sprinkles/showers today ~20% across the Midwest…we will be battling A LOT of dry air, so confidence is on the lower end…accumulations very light to nothing expected.
High pressure sets in on Wednesday with sunshine and cooler weather expected…a warm front lifts north on Thursday night into Friday that will bring our next chance for some showers and a few thunderstorms. It’s really on later Friday into Saturday where we are expecting more widespread thunderstorms across the Midwest. We touch on in the video where we have a growing concern for some gusty storms as well…it’s something we are monitoring very closely.
Overall the next 7 days will feature above normal warmth across the Midwest…it will definitely be a warm weekend with strong southwest winds despite the chances for rain/storms.
We touch on the latest European Weeklies over the next month into mid-April…to have a 4 week composite signal like this is a strong indicator of active, wet times ahead.
Confidence and Risk:
- Average confidence of a few sprinkles to rain showers across the Zones today…otherwise warm with a mix of sun and clouds.
- High confidence of mostly sunny skies Wed/Thurs as high pressure sits overhead…we turn cooler on Wednesday as well.
- Above average confidence of showers and storms late week into the weekend as our next system approaches from the southwest.
- Above average confidence we are overall warmer than normal over the next week.
- Increasing confidence we stay active in the weather department into April.
Today’s video (6 min):