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Total rainfall through Thursday evening: Keep in mind many areas here remain dry through Thursday afternoon, with some upper-level energy providing widely scattered storm risks over Missouri, highest risks in northeast portions of the state.
A cold front will start to work into northwest Kansas Thursday, sparking a band of scattered showers and storms by the afternoon. This rain will work southeast Thursday night through Friday, then that is where the forecast confidence drops off significantly. The European model stalls the front in southern parts of the area, with a wave of heavy rain targeting southern portions of the area late Friday through Saturday. The GFS is more progressive with the front and dries out most of the area by Friday evening, and keeps much of the area dry this weekend. For now, we’ll keep rain risks in play south of I-70, with areas to the north more likely to stay dry. Here is an idea of rainfall over the next 7 days averaged off multiple runs of the GFS model. There will be parts of the area that stay relatively dry over the next week, with areas across southern Kansas having the highest likelihood of 1″+ rains.
High/low temperatures over the next 10 days: Much cooler air by the weekend, then a stronger front may arrive mid to late next week.
High temperatures over the next 4 days:
Low temperatures over the next 4 days:
Dew points over the next 4 days:
Wind forecast over the next 4 days: