Good Saturday afternoon!
A current look at radar- we are seeing a lighter area of precip in N MN and some storms firing in SE/ East Central MN:
Simulated radar from 5 PM CT until 7 AM CT Sun. There is a lot of model uncertainty regarding precip in S MN, especially SE MN. Right now we are favoring more on the aggressive side of development based on the amount of moisture and the weak warm front lifting across the region. We do want to mention the risk for this forecast as S MN does not have the model agreement that we would like to see even a few hours out. Some data has almost no development and keeps a storm cluster further east, however we think that we can see some storms fire most notably in SE MN. Based on atmospheric ingredients, S/Central MN is not out of the question either to see a stronger storm:
Highs today look to be in the mid 60s for Northern MN with much of the state seeing low to mid 70s with a few spots in SW MN seeing upper 70s:
We think Sunday will be a drier day as the precip should work out of the state in the early morning hours and provide some much needed dry time for much of MN. Sim radar from 7 AM CT until 7 PM CT Sunday:
A look at favored precip guidance out through 7 AM tomorrow morning. Right now we are favoring for a stronger risk for precip in SE MN but as mentioned, this is a higher risk, lower confidence forecast due to some model uncertainty. A short term update may be needed if any of the afternoon data indicates a lack of precip chances and our storm chances staying further to the east:
Please reach out to [email protected] with any questions you have! Enjoy the rest of your Saturday!