Good Tuesday Evening!
A current look at radar shows that we are looking at dry conditions across the state :
Here is the map from the AM update- based on the latest data we are not seeing much reason to change the area outlined in red that has the best potential fore severe. We think the highest threat for severe weather primarily stays in Nebraska and South Dakota, but think there can be some stronger cells working eastward along the MN/IA border. The area in green can still see some strong to severe storms, however this area is not as likely:
A look at what radar could be showing from until 10 PM CT this evening until 10 AM CT tomorrow. We can certainly see that most of the strong/severe activity hovers right around the MN/IA border and works its way east during the overnight hours. The further east the storm system pushes, the less severe storms look to be. We should see the intensity of rain also weaken the further north you go, but the possibility for some heavy rains in the Central third of the state is still on the table. The northern third of the state should stay dry during this time minus a few lighter showers stemming from this system:
Highs tomorrow look to be in the mid to 60s for much of the state, 70s to low 80s near that IA/MN border. There is a stationary front right now that is located near the border that is allowing our storm system this evening to ride along it. This boundary is the reason we have such warmer temps near the border compared to the rest of the state:
Simulated radar from 1 PM CT Wed afternoon until 1 AM CT Thur morning. We think that as we work into the afternoon hours there can be a few lingering showers and storms around MN, but we expect these to be pretty spotty and not heavy. Tomorrow evening we will have to watch for another round of potentially stronger storms that we can see start to creep in to MN toward the end of the loop:
Precipitation guidance out through 7 PM CT Wednesday evening. We think this model does a pretty good job aligning with our overall thoughts. We think that the heaviest precip is going to come in the southern third of the state and gradually decrease as you go further north. We think there can be a good swath of widespread 0.5 to 1.5 inches of rain with some places picking up 2+ inches from this round alone. This image does not include the precip from late Wed night into Thur, so there is going to be additional rains to add to these totals:
Reach out to us ([email protected]) with any questions you have! Enjoy your Tuesday evening!