Today’s Video:
Good Monday morning everyone! Hope you had a great weekend.
Some scattered showers and storms are ongoing over portions of the area this morning. These storms will continue to work off to the ESE this morning and eventually diminish especially as we head into mid-day:
As we head into the afternoon and evening, a wave of energy will begin to approach from the west and spawn scattered showers and storms, first in SW South Dakota and then expanding to include more of Southern North Dakota and most of South Dakota. Generally about a 40-50% coverage of showers and storms are possible, but a lack of instability and frontal forcing will make anything more widespread and sustained difficult. These begin to diminish after dark, but a few could continue in SE SD and SW Minnesota into tomorrow morning:
Here’s a look at total rainfall from the Hi-Res NAM through 1PM CDT tomorrow. The most numerous storms are likely in Southern South Dakota where the greatest concentration of upper-level energy is located. A few localized spots could get 1″+ of rain, but many stay dry and generally thunderstorms produce 0.1-0.5″ of rain.
Into tomorrow, a weak front will push into NE portions of the area which could produce just a few pop up showers and storms late tomorrow, but nothing widespread and the vast majority stay dry with the NE ND, far Northern Minnesota and far Eastern Minnesota at the biggest chance for a few storms:
After that wave passes, the area is mostly dry for the next week as a strong upper-level ridge builds and suppresses rain risks. The big story with that ridge will be heat. Increasing likelihood of 90s to near 100F temperatures over the next 7-10 days in the Dakotas. You can see the warmth build on the Pierre and Bismarck city charts, with slightly cooler temperatures for Fergus Falls and Rochester. These also show the lack of precipitation very well:
Here’s a look at temperatures increasing over the next 4 days:
Here’s a look at dew points over the next 4 days:
Here’s a look at winds over the next 4 days:
Here’s a look at total rainfall from the ICON model over the next 7 days:
If you have any questions, do not hesitate to reach out via [email protected]! Have a great day!