Good Saturday morning!
A current look at radar shows that we currently have scattered rain showers across the state. As of right now none of this precip looks to be too heavy and should not produce any totals above 0.25 inches, if that:
Over the past 24 hours we have seen the majority of measurable precip come in the SW part of the state from Kansas City and points South along the MO/KS border. We think this trend of SW MO receiving the heaviest rains can continue, but we think it will be much more confined to extreme SW MO closer to Joplin, and not extremely high totals:
We think that the focus of rain for today will be in the extreme SW corner of MO as just mentioned. We could be looking at some scattered activity for the rest of the southern half of the state, but we think the best chances for coverage and amounts will come in the Joplin, MO area. A few very isolated showers cannot be completely ruled out for the northern portions of the state like what we are seeing on radar, but these are certainly nothing to cancel plans for. Below is simulated radar from Noon CT today until 7 PM CT this evening:
Winds today will be out of the NE at 5 to 10 mph, an occasional gust to 15 mph:
Highs today look to be in the low to mid 80s (lighter reds/oranges) for the W half of the state and mid to upper 80s (darker reds) for the E half of the state. Our best chances at seeing 90 degree readings will most likely happen in the far SE counties in MO:
Tomorrow looks to be a decent day with the majority of the state staying dry, the one exception being the pop up storms in Southern Missouri, similar to what we could see today. Below is a simulated radar loop from 7 AM CT tomorrow morning until 4 PM CT tomorrow afternoon. This model may be underplaying some of the pop ups, but overall we agree with the isolated nature of these storms, as well as the thought that the majority of pop ups will be focused in the S half of the state:
Highs tomorrow look to be a touch warmer than today with the majority of the state in the upper 80s/low 90s:
A look at precipitation guidance out until 7 PM CT tomorrow evening. There are two areas that we think could end up a little different than what this model is depicting. We think that the area circled in black could end up with more widespread and higher totals than what is being shown in the image. We think this afternoon, as shown in the simulated radar loop above, can bring totals closer to 0.25 to 0.75 inches with amounts locally closer to 1+ inches. We also think the area circled in red could see less coverage than what is being shown. We think that between today and tomorrow, the coverage and intensity will be slightly less than what this model is trying to depict:
As always, if you have any questions please don’t hesitate to reach out to us at [email protected] ! Enjoy the rest of your Saturday!