8-3-19 Kansas: Short Term Update Through Sunday Evening.V.

Good Saturday morning!

A check on radar shows that we are looking at some precip in extreme NE Kansas and we are watching an area of heavier rain in SE Kansas slowly work its way South:

Over the past 24 hours, we have seen E Kansas continue to see more rainfall, the heaviest of rains focused in the SE corner. We have seen some breaks though as these totals are not as high as what we have seen the past few days:

We think that as the day goes on today we can continue to see our precip become less intense and less widespread. Below is a look at modeled simulated radar from 10 AM CT today until 7 PM CT this evening. As we work later into the afternoon and evening, we think our rain continues to diminish in E KS, providing us with only scattered chances:

Highs today look to be in the low 80s for the E half of the state (lighter oranges/reds) due to the precip that can bring down high temperatures. Highs in the W half of the state look to be in the upper 80s/low 90s with some spots in extreme SW Kansas working into the mid 90s. This temperature gradient across the state is due to our upper level pattern, as we feel more of that influence of the upper level ridge that has been keeping W KS dry but giving E KS substantial rainfall:

Winds today will be out of the E at 5 to 10 mph, some gusts hitting 15 mph:

Tomorrow we think the state can stay dry minus a few scattered storms in the PM hours, mainly focused in the E half of Kansas. These look to be very isolated and nothing to cancel plans for. Below is modeled simulated radar from noon PM CT Sun until 7 PM CT Sunday evening:

Highs tomorrow look to be a touch warmer than today in E KS as we are expecting mid to upper 80s across the state with the best chance of hitting 90+ coming in W KS:

A look at rainfall guidance out until 7 PM CT Sunday evening. We think that this model may be bringing the heaviest precip that is located just SE of Wichita a little too far N and that these totals may be a touch too high. However, we do agree with the heaviest of rains in the next 36 hours coming in SE Kansas, and we think this model is doing a good job depicting the scattered and hit/miss nature of storms in the Central part of the state for today. Coverage and intensity may be a touch too high for this scattered nature, but we think the placement of the rainfall is correct: 

As always, if you have any questions please don’t hesitate to reach out to us at [email protected] ! Enjoy the rest of your Saturday!