Good Tuesday evening!
A current check on radar shows that we are seeing some scattered storms that are situated in the Central part of KS. Currently one of those storms near Hoxie is severe warned:
A look at modeled upper level energy from 1 AM CT Wed morning until 1 AM CT Thursday morning. We can see that during this timeframe, the majority of the stronger energy (darker reds) stays situated over the NE sections of the state. There are certainly going to be other areas of the state that see showers and storms during this time, but this is where we are expecting the best shot at higher precip totals and severe weather:
Overall we think that the majority of the heaviest amounts of rain over the next 24 hours will come in the E third of the state. We are watching for some areas in N/NE KS to be impacted by this storm cluster in Nebraska, as well as a boundary tomorrow that will be across the state and could provide more chances for precipitation. This boundary can be seen in the simulated radar loop below from 1 AM CT tomorrow morning until 7 PM CT Wednesday evening. Right around the middle of the loop (early afternoon) we see a line of scattered showers and storms set up along that boundary from NE to SW KS :
High temperatures tomorrow look to be in upper 80s/low 90s for the northern third of the state with the southern 2/3 of KS looking at highs in the mid to upper 90s:
Precipitation guidance out through 7 PM CT Wednesday evening. The majority of this precip is going to come in the NE part of KS (area circled in black), but there will be other chances throughout the state. As mentioned, there will be a stronger cluster working through Nebraska overnight and that could bring the far N sections of KS getting some hit and miss showers and storms from that cluster. Most of the heavier precip from that cluster will stay in Nebraska before taking a SE dive near the NE/IA/MO/KS borders. We are also watching the storms currently on radar to continue to hang around later tonight and produce the scattered totals we see on the image below. Tomorrow we turn our attention to a line of showers and storms that will be set up from NE to SW in the state. We can see this model picking up on that based on the orientation of the precip below:
Please reach out to us at [email protected] with any questions you have! Have a great rest of your Tuesday!