Good Friday afternoon!
A peek at radar shows that we are looking at some heavier showers and storms in the E half of the state. The strongest returns are being seen just E of Valentine, NE and these storms are working their way generally to the S and E:
We think this trend of moderate to heavier rains can continue for the rest of the evening and into the early overnight hours. Right now it does look like the intensity of our rain clusters will diminish as we progress to tomorrow near sunrise. Below is a simulated upper level energy and simulated radar image from 7 PM CT this evening until 7 AM CT tomorrow morning. As we can see, our upper level energy (darker shades of red) in E Nebraska is a lot more scattered and less organized in the last few frames compared to the first couple frames of this loop. This means we could be looking at more scattered activity that is not as heavy as what is currently showing up on radar. This same thought is also seen on simulated radar as showers/ storms are much more scattered and do not look to hold as heavy of rain clusters. This is not to say that there will not be any pockets of heavier rains here and there, but it is more likely than not that these are more isolated and still focused on the E half of the state:
Tomorrow’s highs look to be in the mid to upper 80s for the western half of NE with upper 70s/low 80s (lighter oranges) in the eastern half of the state where we can see some rain cool those highs a little:
For tomorrow, we think that as the afternoon and evening roll on, we can see diminishing coverage of this scattered activity as it looks to turn more isolated precip chances. Tomorrow looks like it could be a decent break for those areas that received heavier amounts over the past few days. Below is simulated radar from 1 PM CT tomorrow until 7 PM CT tomorrow evening. Also note the chance of storms that start to work their way in to W Nebraska toward the end of the loop. We will have to watch these closely for heavier pockets of rainfall:
A look at rainfall guidance out until tomorrow evening. As mentioned, we think this precip will slowly subside and we will not be receiving the widespread rains that we have seen over the past few days. Rainfall looks to be more focused in the central part of the state, generally 0.25 to 0.75 inches with local amounts higher (near 2+ inches). We think this area of higher precip will be more focused in the central third of the state as our precip is still continuing to ride right around the upper level ridge that is responsible for keeping the W half of the state much drier:
As always, if you have any questions please do not hesitate to reach out to us at [email protected] ! Enjoy the rest of your Friday!