Today’s Video:
Good Monday morning everyone! After a very hot and dry weekend, we do have some light rain showers on the radar this morning. These will persist throughout the daytime hours and slowly sag south as we work into the late evening and overnight hours along a cold front.
As we head into the overnight hours as the front approaches a more moisture rich environment, additional showers and storms likely develop in portions of Southern South Dakota and NE North Dakota even into W-Central Minnesota. These storms will slowly sag south with the front overnight and into tomorrow finally pushing south by the late evening hours:
Discrepancies in data begin as we work into tomorrow night. The NAM models develop a cluster of storms that push through South Dakota overnight and into Wednesday. The GFS is similar but weaker with this solution while the Euro is much later and slower with these clusters and hangs them around until Thursday evening. As of now, we’re leaning towards the faster solution given the speed of the front and the upper-level winds. A scenario of storms for 24-48 hours like the Euro shows seems unlikely and storms likely push out by Wednesday night or Thursday morning.
Following these storms much of Thursday and into Friday could be fairly dry for the region, before another chance of storms is possible as we work into Saturday as another front starts to push through the area. Overall, the Euro is likely overdone on rainfall in South Dakota as we think it’s too far north and slow with the storm clusters.
Here’s a look at the temperatures over the next 4 days, we will cool off a bit tomorrow behind the front before conditions warm back up again to end the week:
Here’s a look at dew points over the next 4 days:
Here’s a look at wind gusts the next 4 days:
A few more hot days today and into the weekend before the second cold frontal passage. The pattern should get a bit more cool and active as we work into week 2, though northern areas continue to be the more likely portion of the region to remain warmer and drier than normal. The city charts start to show that trend at the end of the period:
If you have any questions, do not hesitate to reach out via [email protected]! Have a great day!