Good morning! Here’s the latest 7-day forecast:
We are expecting another round of hit or miss storms this afternoon/evening across the area. Compared to yesterday’s storms, I believe coverage will be slightly less (20-30%) along with most of the activity developing north of the Ohio River. Upper-air flow will come from the north today, so any storms that fire will track north to south. The severe weather threat is expected to stay rather minimal today, but I can’t rule out a few storms becoming strong to severe with heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and small hail. I think a large majority of the game will remain dry as storms likely ignite just north of the area after 2pm with some activity possibly working into the latter portions of the game. There is a small cluster of storms tracking across northwest OH currently, but I’m skeptical of whether or not these storms will make it down south towards Cincinnati. Temperatures during first pitch are expected to be between 83-85ºF with temperatures hovering near 85ºF through the rest of the game. Temps will drop if a storm tracks over the ballpark. Storm coverage will decrease substantially late this evening. Shown below is HRRR simulated radar through 1am EDT Monday:
Looking ahead to tomorrow high pressure will dominate our pattern. However, an isolated pop-up shower/storm is possible during the afternoon/evening hours due to daytime instability. Coverage during this time appears to be 5-10%. Temperatures at first pitch tomorrow evening are expected to be in the lower 80s. As is the story with today, any isolated pop-ups tomorrow will weaken after sunset. The NAM3km simulated radar from 8am EDT Monday through 8am EDT Tuesday is shown below.
The next decent shot of rain won’t come until Thursday with some sporadic coverage possible Wednesday. The European Model with updated designated timestamps is shown below. Since yesterday, the model has slowed the progression of the upper-level low slightly to keep storm chances in the area into Thursday night. The American GFS model has a similar solution. There is some risk for the models to switch back and forth so some fine-tuning will be needed as this event approaches.
If you have any questions do not hesitate to reach out! Have a great day!