Good Saturday afternoon!
A check on radar shows that we are not looking at any precip across the state minus a very isolated shower/storm in W MO:
We think this trend of drier weather should continue for the rest of the afternoon, evening, and overnight hours. Here is a look at simulated radar from 2 PM CT this afternoon until 5 AM CT tomorrow morning. We certainly see the overwhelming majority of the state with dry conditions. Just like what we are seeing on radar right now, we can’t completely rule out a stay shower/storm here and there, but overall this is extremely isolated and should be focused not the S part of the state:
Highs today look to be in the upper 80s/low 90s across the state:
As we work into tomorrow, we are watching for the potential for some precip to impact MO. We want to mention that there is some uncertainty with this forecast for tomorrow. Some data is hinting at more scattered and isolated activity tomorrow while other data is hinting at more widespread coverage. Below is the simulated radar from 7 AM CT Sunday morning until 7 PM CT Sunday evening. We think this model may be slightly underdone in terms of the coverage it is showing, but agree that as the afternoon goes on, we will see more precip coming across the state from W to E. We are slightly favoring more widespread rains than isolated rains:
Highs tomorrow look to be similar to today, upper 80s to low 90s across the state with the potential for some “feels like” values in the low 100s:
A look at modeled rainfall guidance out through 7 PM CT Sunday. Like always, the precip maps are not meant to be “backyard specific”. We are looking more at general areas/ areas where we agree or disagree. As mentioned above, there is still some uncertainty with this precip even though this forecast is for tomorrow afternoon/evening. The area in black is one area that we think this model may be overdoing. We don’t see that strong of totals and that high coverage in N MO given the upper level energy. The red circle is an area where we can see slightly more precip. Most data looks to decrease the coverage and intensity as the precip works to E MO, but we think that there can be at least some precip in the area circled, current thought is a general 0.1 to 0.4 inches. We do think that not everyone in this area will receive precip, however:
As always, do not hesitate to reach out with any questions to [email protected] ! Enjoy the rest of your Saturday!