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Good Friday morning! Here is the forecast for the region today. A frontal boundary will spark a few scattered storms mainly along a line across central Missouri through portions of southern Kansas. Otherwise, plentiful sunshine and dry conditions.
Forecast radar through the day: Isolated storms in northeast Missouri this morning, then as we head through the afternoon and early evening (3pm-8pm) a line of scattered storms should develop from southeast Kansas through central portions of Missouri. Storms should diminish mid and late evening.
Many areas stay dry….but a few locations pick up a quick 0.25″ to 0.75″, very localized higher amounts over 1″ cannot be ruled out given the high moisture content and slow progression of any storms, but that would be very limited.
Much of the region sees dry conditions this weekend. We’ll watch for a spotty storm in far southern areas tomorrow, then an uptick in scattered showers south of I-70 late Sunday. This system across the Texas panhandle gradually migrates north/east early to mid next week bringing more widespread rain across Kansas/western Missouri Monday, then the system continues to lift north into Tuesday along with a frontal boundary also dropping in from the north. This will also bring at least chances for rain in Nebraska and Iowa as the front starts to interact with the upper low to the south, with the highest rainfall threat across Kansas and Missouri.
Precipitation charts over the next 10 days for select cities shown below. The green bars represent the average off all of the individual European model ensembles, and the blue represents the European operational rainfall forecast. Higher spread in the ensemble and operational forecast represents a lower confidence forecast….particularly notice the spread for Des Moines. That is certainly an area with lower confidence for rain potential next week.
Temperature trends over the next 10 days:
Rainfall forecast over the next 7 days. A bit more confidence since yesterday’s forecast, but note that this will continue to adjust over the next few days. My “highest” confidence for a soaking rain event is across western Missouri and central/southern/eastern Kansas early to mid next week.
High temperatures over the next 4 days:
Low temperatures over the next 4 days:
Dewpoints over the next 4 days:
Wind forecast over the next 4 days:
Weeks 1 and 2 temperatures from normal:
Weeks 1 and 2 precipitation from normal:
Weeks 3 and 4 outlook: We see signals for a more active pattern to close the month and open September area-wide.
