Good Tuesday afternoon!
Here is a look at current radar as of 3:45 PM CT. As mentioned yesterday and earlier today, most of the rain is staying in the Northern parts of ND and we are starting to see some more organized pop up storms starting to occur in SW SD:
Our low pressure system will continue to work its way ENE and bring rain and storm chances for the rest of tonight and into the overnight hours. Below is a snapshot of simulated radar for your rush hour commute at 7 AM Wednesday. Our low is progressing into MN at this time and will take much of the precip with it:
Tomorrow afternoon will bring a much needed break from the rain as we are expecting high pressure to build in behind the low and provide us with an opportunity to dry out. Here is a a look at 4 PM CT tomorrow. It is possible that we do see some “wrap around” spotty showers and storms in the afternoon from the low in the eastern thirds of ND and SD, but as the day goes on our high pressure will work its way east and usher any leftover rain chances into MN:
Here is a look at rainfall guidance through Wednesday evening. As mentioned, almost all of this rain is going to fall from this afternoon thru tomorrow morning, the only exception being some spotty showers and storms to the E during the day as the low works its way out. Our two areas of heaviest rains will come in the NE and NW corners of ND. NW ND is looking at a base of another 1.5 to 3 inches with amounts locally higher where heavier bands set up, and NE ND could be looking at an additional 0.75 to 2 inches of rain. This is not saying that the rest of ND will be dry, but these are the two areas where we except the most rainfall. The other area that needs to be watched is SW SD as we have some upper level energy working through that could produce some strong storms:
A look at the mentioned upper level energy that will be working its way through SW SD this afternoon and evening. This energy could spark some severe storms and produce some locally heavy rains where some of these stronger cells move. Hail, flash flooding, and an isolated tornado are all possible with this wave of energy. We think that storm totals could certainly be higher than what is being modeled in the image above:
If you have any questions or would like more localized forecast details please do not hesitate to reach out to us at [email protected] ! Enjoy the rest of your day!