Good Tuesday afternoon!
A look at radar shows that we are seeing rain and storms in the NE part of the state with some light showers also in the SW portion of Nebraska:
We think that we can continue to see these storm cluster chances during the night tonight, mainly in E Nebraska. Here is a look at simulated radar from 7 PM CT tonight until 7 AM CT tomorrow. During this time we are expecting just possible scattered activity across the rest of the state. These storms are coming from the northwest as they are following the flow over top a ridge that is situated in the SW US. We can see this direction of flow by looking at our upper level pattern and seeing the track these clusters will take. The current positioning of this flow looks to give Northern Nebraska and Eastern Nebraska the best shot at higher precipitation over the next few days:
Tomorrow’s highs should be in the upper 80s for the northern half of the state and mid to upper 90s near the NE/KS border. We can see cooler temps near the NE/IA border as this is where we will see the best chance for storm clusters, which would limit our high temps to the low 80s:
We think during the day tomorrow our chance for some storms coming via that northwest flow diminishes. We can still see some scattered activity across the state, but as of right now this does look to be scattered in nature. We are more concerned about late Wednesday night/ early Thursday morning for a strong cluster that looks to impact the NE/IA border. This could lay down some pretty high rainfall totals in excess of 2+ inches. Here is a still image of simulated radar at 1 AM CT Thursday morning:
A look at rainfall guidance out until 7 PM CT Wednesday. This model may not be showing totals high enough in E Nebraska as we sometimes see models not get a good grip on the amount of precip that these clusters can put down. We also think this model could be not showing enough scattered activity during the day tomorrow across the state. Right now this does not look to be large amounts of rain, but still something that we will have to fine tune tomorrow. The area circled is one where we think there can be more precip than what is being suggested from the potential cluster early tomorrow morning. Something closer to 0.25-0.75 inches as we think it is possible for some storms to ignite in this area and slowly work their way from the NW to the SE. These totals do not reflect the storm cluster Thursday morning:
As always, if you have any questions please do not hesitate to reach out to us at [email protected] ! Enjoy the rest of your Tuesday!