Good Friday afternoon!
A peek at radar shows that we are looking at some scattered activity in the North/Central parts of the state and a few cells starting to pop in the NW part of Nebraska:
Below is simulated upper level energy from now until 7 PM CT Saturday evening. There are two main features we want to focus on, the first being this evening in the NW part of Nebraska. We can see some areas of energy (darker shades of red) start to show up this evening. The other timeframe we are watching is tomorrow afternoon and evening, again turning our attention to the NW part of the state. Current thought is that tonight can be a little more scattered and not as widespread as tomorrow evening:
A look at simulated radar from 4 PM CT until 7 AM CT tomorrow. We think that this model does a good job depicting the location and intensity of these storms.While the majority of storms will be focused in NW Nebraska, we cannot completely rule out a cell or two popping and working its way into the Central portions of the state like what we are seeing on radar. With that said, the chances of this are not very high and this would be pretty isolated. Tonight and tomorrow night, the potential for some of these storms to be strong or severe is certainly on the table. The three main severe weather parameters we are watching for are damaging winds, large hail, and isolated flooding possible where the heaviest of storms set up. An isolated tornado cant be completely ruled out, but this does not look to be anything widespread:
Tomorrow throughout the day looks to be okay across the state, however we cannot totally rule out some spotty leftover showers and storms in NW Nebraska during the late morning/early afternoon. Highs tomorrow looks to be in the upper 80s/low 90s statewide with “feels like” values in the low to mid 90s:
Modeled radar from 1 PM CT until 7 CT Saturday evening. As mentioned, we think this can be a little more widespread and more impactful than what happens tonight. The severe threat will still be on the table as we see more potential coverage spanning into North Central and North East Nebraska:
Rainfall guidance out through 7 PM CT tomorrow evening. We do think this model may be a little underdone on totals in the NW part of the state, but the focus from this image is to note that the majority of precip over the next 30 hours will fall in the NW part of the state, with the overwhelming majority of S Nebraska looking to stay dry:
As always, if you have any questions please do not hesitate to reach out to us at [email protected] ! Enjoy the rest of your Friday!