Good Sunday afternoon!
A quick check on radar as of 5:15 PM CT shows that we are looking at some storms starting to creep into the extreme W parts of the state:
Below is a look at upper level energy from 5 PM CT Sun until 3 AM CT Mon. We see a line of energy moving over parts of the Nebraska panhandle this evening and working into the central parts of the state in the pre-dawn hours tomorrow. This energy should produce some storms that will work their way E over the course of the evening and overnight hours. Any storms that form certainly have the potential to be strong to severe with the two biggest threats of severe weather being strong winds and hail. Again, the focus of these storms should be the NW and North/Central portions of the state. Any storms that do form should start to fade as we work to the sunrise hours of your Monday:
Monday overall as of now looks to be okay precip wise with only a very small chance of some pop up activity occurring in the E parts of the state. Here is a loop of simulated radar from 9 AM CT Mon until 3 PM CT:
Our next potential round of precip comes Monday evening in the Western part of the state again. Models are differing on exact timing, but right now this looks to be around the early evening/sunset timeframe on Monday night. Similar to the potential this evening, we could be seeing an area of upper level energy work its way into the W parts of the state later in the night and progressing W to E in the overnight hours while gradually fading as it does so:
High temperatures on Monday will be in the 90’s across the entire state with the potential for upper 90’s in the Central and South/Central portions of NE:
Rainfall guidance out until 7 PM CT Mon. Some of the hi-res short term data has been struggling recently with this pattern bringing all the heat across the US, so do not take this image for exact placement and amounts. We want to focus on the NW parts of the state seeing the highest potential for rain over the next 36 hours with 2 chances, one tonight/the overnight hours and the next coming tomorrow night/into the overnight hours Tue. We do think that amounts in the North/Central parts of the state could be higher than what is being modeled, but these general totals should not be as much as the W part of the state due to the upper level energy decreasing as it moves further E. A general 0.25 to 0.50 inches is possible with these storms, however the potential is there for 1.0 inches + where the strongest cells set up. Totals will vary widely based on the scattered nature of these storms:
As always, if you have any questions please do not hesitate to reach out to us at [email protected] ! Enjoy the rest of your Sunday!