Video:
Area with the greatest heavy rain risks tonight into Wednesday morning is shown below. Based on flash flood guidance (how much water our soils can handle before flash flooding would occur) highest threat will be just south of Terre Haute off to the west through south-central Illinois.
Forecast radar from 3am through 11am Wednesday shows the cluster of storms working through the area:
Total rain potential through Wednesday is shown below. Northern Indiana counties can stay drier and miss the heavy rainfall…with a focus over the central areas.
A few additional strong storms possible as a boundary works through during the late afternoon and evening Wednesday, shifting to southern areas Wednesday night:
Still watching late week through early next week for the impact of an upper-low which will have a tropical disturbance merge with it. It looks to sit over the Ark-La-Tex Thursday through Friday, keeping the shower and storm risks in the southern half of the state. In fact, much of northern half of Indiana will not see rain until this weekend, as the upper-low looks to lift north into the area. Latest forecast rain next 7 days:
Latest forecast tracks of the tropical disturbance show the path lifting north into the area this weekend:
Wind forecast over the next 4 days:
Temperature/precipitation charts:
Indianapolis:
Fort Wayne:
Lafayette:
Bloomington:
Madison:
Evansville:
