Today’s video:
Total precipitation guidance in the short-term over the next 60 hours…other than a passing sprinkle chance here over the next 2-3 days, most of us will be on the drier side of things with a warming forecast as well (just what we need):
We still need to watch like a hawk late Thursday night into Friday morning as there is almost a perfect gradient being modeled for a storm cluster to ride the northern periphery of a ridge (area of higher pressure) extending from Iowa to the Ohio Valley. Models are still back and forth on the intensity and we need more higher resolution data to fine-tune…check back often:
There’s currently a marginal risks for heavy / strong storms from Iowa to Illinois to Indiana for late Thursday night…I think it’s possible this marginal risk can be expanded more into Ohio to cover the risks for strong wind gusts and heavy rainfall potential if this storm cluster pans out as forecast:
Pattern evolution thoughts into week 2 are below…supporting a continued warming forecast into late May and still seeing some drier risks overall…which is good news for getting consistent work done in the fields. The one risks to watch will be how strong the ridge will be in the southeast…if it ends up being weaker than currently modeled (not favoring this right now), the precipitation could creep a touch closer to Ohio:
Wind forecast over the next 4 days:
Temperature & precipitation city charts over the next 10 days: **Take the temperatures for the weekend with a grain of salt as the placement of a boundary will make the difference between summer heat and cooler temps. For what it’s worth we believe the data below is too cool, favoring a warmer solution.**
Toledo:
Columbus:
Cincinnati:
