Video:
Current radar at 9am CDT shows rain showers building across Missouri and Iowa (embedded storms to the south). There may be a brief window of freezing rain in northern Iowa, but should quickly transition to all rain.
Soggy day ahead for Iowa and much of Missouri, then the focus for moisture will line up across southeast Kansas and Missouri throughout the day Tuesday into Tuesday night:
Storms may contain gusty winds and hail in portions of Missouri and southeast Kansas today, where a “marginal” severe risk is issued. This means any storms generally stay below severe criteria, but some storms could briefly reach that point.
Total precipitation over the next 60 hours… 2-3″+ across central and southern Missouri:
Wednesday is the driest day of the week across the area, and the warmest. Another system will work across southwest Nebraska, central Kansas, to Missouri and southern Iowa Thursday into Friday with a band of rain, and possibly some wet snow. Some data even tries to suggest a band of snow accumulations. Can’t rule that out at this point, but confidence on the “snow” chance remains low due to model differences.
The Weekend: A strong front looks to drop south into the area mainly for Sunday. This will bring precipitation across the northern half of the area, with the potential to mix and changeover to snow on Easter. European and Canadian models are similar with this idea. The front continues to drop south on Monday, and delivers unusually cold air for early next week. How about Easter snow in Iowa and Nebraska?! We’ll have to watch the trends over the coming days. Missouri may actually squeeze out decent weather for a good chunk of the weekend with warmer temperatures, too.
7-Day Precipitation: Very heavy rains across central and southern Missouri of 2-5″. This heavy rain extends into southeast Kansas as well. Iowa will see its share of moisture as well. Combined with melting snowpack, this could also cause lowland flooding issues.
Weeks 1 and 2 outlooks: Temperatures average out below normal…even cooler next week!
