3-1-18 Ohio Update: Soggy day w/ transition to heavy, wet snow north later today through tonight. Details here. N.

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Good Thursday morning everyone! We’re tracking rain that is working it’s way across much of the state this morning with the potential of a changeover to snow later this afternoon for northern and northwest portions of the state. Here is a look at the current radar at 6:45AM:

As we head throughout the day, this system will push east and gradually draw in cooler air, this could create a period where a changeover to moderate to heavy snow at times is possible. Here’s a look at the simulated radar into tomorrow. Note we could start seeing snow fly as early as 2-3 PM EST this afternoon and increase in coverage throughout the afternoon and evening and linger into the overnight hours. The heaviest snow should work out by the morning hours with some scattered lingering snow showers into late morning/mid-day.

The big caveat to this forecast is temperatures. Without a true arctic air source, it’s going to be hard to drop temperatures low enough to support accumulating snow. Here’s a look at the forecast temperatures into tomorrow morning:

However, as this storm system ramps up, dynamic cooling will likely take place and allow for heavy snow to fall for a time this afternoon and into the overnight hours. Though road temperatures will be much above freezing as the snow starts, it could come down at heavy enough rates to overcome warm surfaces temperatures especially on grass and elevated surfaces. The latest RPM is picking up on the potential snowfall accumulation and it’s latest run seems to have a good handle on the system.

Due to the intensification of this low pressure system as it moves east, it has the ability to produce some very strong winds especially on the backside. The good news is this could help dry out pavement before temperatures drop below freezing, but some spotty refreezing of wet roadways is not out of the question overnight tonight. Sustained winds of 15-30 MPH are possible beginning for West Ohio late this afternoon and into the evening hours. With snow falling at this time, visibility could be low where heavy snow falls.