2-14-18 Central Plains Forecast: Ups/downs in temperatures over the next week…heavy rain threat for Missouri?

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Scattered showers are impacting southeast Missouri this morning, and these will continue to push east out of the area this morning.  The rest of the area remains mainly dry.  There looks to be increasing cloud cover/fog developing over Iowa by late afternoon.  

Fog looks to be widespread tonight across Iowa, thanks to warmer air moving in over the cold, snow-covered ground.  Some areas of fog likely in Nebraska too, particularly where snow cover is present.  

Temperatures will be flirting with freezing here, so be sure to keep an eye on the thermometer for some of this fog to freeze:

Not much has changed regarding the forecast for Thursday into Friday.  Thursday will be a rather cloudy day area-wide with some areas of drizzle, but many areas won’t see much in terms of measurable precipitation.  More substantial showers expected to form over southern Missouri by Thursday evening, and the rain here will linger the longest into Friday.  Most of the region should clear out with sun for Friday as high pressure builds in.  

Most of the area sees little to no measurable moisture, the exception will be southeast Missouri where a quarter to half inch is possible (locally higher further east).  

The weekend features mild conditions and overall a lot of dry weather.  Next week looks unsettled as a very sharp boundary will move into the area early next week.  For example, highs on Monday may range from mid 70s in southeast Kansas to upper single digits in northern Nebraska!!  This boundary will get tugged further east into mid-week with waves of energy riding along it.  This looks to keep portions of Missouri very wet, while the western portions of the area keep it drier than normal.  We’ll have to keep an eye on the western edge of the moisture for some mixed precipitation, including some ice.  

Overall, much of the area gets on the colder side of this boundary leading to colder than normal temperatures next week.  Here are our weeks 1 and 2 outlooks: