11-17-18 Northern Plains Saturday Update: Drier weather with mostly sunny skies expected today…watching an additional wave of light snows Sunday into Monday morning. I.

Good morning everyone! The vast majority of the region has cleared out the snows that impacted the region yesterday into last night. However, there is some light snow shower activity hanging on across far southwestern SD that will lift out over the next few hours. In general, many across the region are experiencing sunshine with some persisting clouds across the southern portions of the area. Stray clouds can also be noted in eastern MN while plenty of snow cover is draped across ND, northeastern SD and southern MN. 

With high pressure funneling into the region today, skies will remain generally mostly sunny (dark shading) with only scattered cloud cover hanging on across southern SD and far southern MN due to a frontal boundary draped south of the region. Today will definitely be a good day to clear out any snow with no threat of precipitation for virtually all areas. 

An additional wave of energy from Southern Canada will swing into the northern portions of the region Sunday, resulting in areas of snow showers. This threat will begin in ND Sunday morning while also affecting areas further east across northern MN into Sunday afternoon and evening. The energy with this disturbance will be scattered, so not everyone will observe steady snows. However, given the colder temperatures, this will likely be a dry, fluffy snow that can easily accumulate. Slick spots will be likely.

Simulated radar from 6am CST Sunday through 12pm CST Monday: The disturbance from southern Canada swings down into ND starting around 9am CST Sunday and continues to progress across the state through the remainder of the morning and afternoon hours. Northwestern MN will gradually work in these scattered snow showers mainly after 4pm CST. During the overnight hours, snows will continue across ND before exiting to the east by 3am CST. Snows in northern MN will continue with even eastern MN receiving scattered activity late Sunday night into early Monday morning. Elsewhere, scattered light rain showers are possible on the southern periphery of this system in northern/eastern SD into far southern MN, but dry air at the surface will help to inhibit some of this light rainfall from reaching the ground. By 10am CST Monday, the vast majority of the precipitation will have exited to the east with the area drying out once again. 

This wave of scattered snow showers will likely put down light snow accumulations on the order of 0.5-1″ across ND and northern MN. Depending on where any short-lived banding can set up, localized pockets of 1-2″ are possible. As stated previously, this will be a dry, fluffy snow so it will be easy to get minor accumulations out of this before all is set and done. 

Here’s a look at 7-day precipitation totals across the region: In general, precipitation will remain rather light through the period with many observing less than 0.25″ of liquid. Another wave of light precipitation is expected to clip the far northern portions of MN late Tuesday. Please note that this model is taking into account precipitation that has already fallen across southern MN. 

Here’s a look at high and low temperatures over the next four days: Colder temperatures will linger over the next few days. Highs today will largely stay in the teens in ND and northern MN with 20s more likely further south. Overnight lows tonight will fall into the teens area-wide with even some places dropping into the single digits. We’ll work in another reinforcing shot of cold air Monday behind Sunday/Sunday night’s disturbance that will lead to overnight lows Monday night in the single digits across eastern ND into MN. Some locations in northern MN will likely drop below 0ºF.

Here’s a look at winds over the next four days: Generally, winds will remain relatively light thanks to high pressure overhead today. It won’t be until Tuesday when winds pick back up across the eastern two-thirds of the area, bringing gusts upwards of 30mph at times. 

Here’s a look at the 10 day city charts for Bismarck, Fargo, Sioux Falls and Minneapolis:

If you have any questions do not hesitate to reach out! Have a great weekend!