Good morning everyone! We have a couple weak pulses of energy to track through Monday, the first being a vorticity max (area of higher energy) that will glide through northeastern ND into northern MN this afternoon through tonight. Scattered light snow showers will likely develop with this wave as it tracks through these areas.
Simulated radar from 12pm CST today through 6am CST Monday: Scattered light snow showers develop along the ND/MN border starting mainly after 2pm CST while scattered coverage increases into northern MN during the evening hours. Precipitation is expected to remain on the lighter side as it progresses through the northern portions of MN overnight. In general, not much in the way of snow accumulation is expected but some areas could pick up a light dusting of snow (less than 0.5″ of snow).
Patchy freezing fog will be possible in the darker shaded areas tonight into Monday morning (including central ND, northeastern SD and portions of western/northern MN) as winds remain on the lighter side. With temperatures well below freezing in these areas, a few slick spots will be possible (especially if the patchy fog develops).
Another weak disturbance will follow behind the vorticity max Monday, but precipitation should stay isolated with this feature. This disturbance will enter ND and northwestern MN Monday morning before quickly progressing SSE into eastern SD and southern MN late morning through the afternoon hours. Given the atmospheric profile with this wave, precipitation will be limited while also being in the form of patchy freezing drizzle or flurries.
Simulated radar from 6am CST Monday through 12am CST Monday night: The scattered snows associated with the vorticity max will exit northeastern MN late Monday morning while patchy flurries/freezing drizzle will be possible in the eastern Dakotas into southern MN during the daytime hours. Any precipitation found in southeastern SD and southern MN by 6pm CST Monday will be exiting into the Central Plains over the following couple of hours.
A couple streams of energy will likely glide/slip through the region late Tuesday through the day Wednesday and provide patchy flurry activity to portions of the region. A greater focus of perhaps some snow showers will be found along the MN/Canadian border Tuesday.
Total precipitation over the next 7 days reveals very light precipitation chances for many in the northern portions of the region. We’ll need to watch for a potent storm system late work week into early next weekend to possibly clip the southern portions of the region with snow. The details will need to be ironed out over the coming days, but something to watch going forward. However, current model consensus keeps the heaviest snows just south of the region.
Temperature forecast over the next four days: Colder air will work in from southern Canada Tuesday night through Wednesday night with lows falling into the negative teens in northeastern ND and northwestern MN and the high warming barely above 0ºF in the same locations Wednesday.
Wind forecast over the next four days:
High/low temperatures over the next 10 days for Fargo, Bismarck, Minneapolis and Sioux Falls:
If you have any questions do not hesitate to reach out! Have a great rest of your weekend!