Weekly Energy Report – Page 20

Jan

1-17-23 Long Range: In depth discussion of pattern evolution into mid February.V.

Good Morning! Here is your Latest Long Range Report: https://youtu.be/BbU0utpsWOs Click here for Hi-Res PDF: 11723LR Intro Slide: Temperatures: We have raised out final Estimated JAN HDD forecast to 810, taking it to 3rd lowest (warmest) over the past 70 years. This is thanks to colder trends on data over…

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-13-23 Long Range: Eastern US warm risks will try to linger, but colder pattern develops in the West/Central US. B.

Good Morning! Here is your Latest Long Range Report: https://youtu.be/UDjWC_6y1Qs Click here for Hi-Res PDF: 11323LR Intro Slide: Temperatures: Our very warm January continues with HDD’s ~80 points below the average over the next 2 weeks combined. We are on track for the 2nd lowest (warmest) January in terms of…

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-10-23 Long Range: Discussion of active pattern to end Jan/ start Feb.V.

Good Morning! Here is your Latest Long Range Report: https://youtu.be/hwkVPM61QfA Click here for Hi-Res PDF: 11023LR Intro Slide: Temperatures: Our very warm January continues with temps the next 2 weeks staying above average. We are on track for the 2nd lowest (warmest) January in terms of heating demand. With that…

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-6-23 Long Range: Warmth likely to persist into late January, latest thoughts on early February forecast risks. B.

Good Morning! Here is your Latest Long Range Report: Click here for Hi-Res PDF: 1623LR https://youtu.be/xwXw3X0YicM Intro Slide: Temperatures: Well above normal temperatures will overall persist with only brief moderations with storm systems. This persists into week 2 though the SE US won’t run as warm with a shot of…

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-3-23 Long Range: Breaking down late Jan / early Feb forecast risks.V.

Good Morning! Here is your Latest Long Range Report: https://youtu.be/DnVVOP5Ashs Click here for Hi-Res PDF: 1323LR Intro Slide: Temperatures: Much above average temps will continue to be the overall theme over the next several days across the Eastern half of the US. While some of the targeted storm systems we…

Jan

By Bret Walts

1-2-22 Week Ahead Report: Warmer pattern signals persist into Mid-January. Updated February outlooks. B.

Good afternoon everyone and Happy New Year. Data continues to generally run very warm over the next 2 weeks in comparison of 10 and 30 year normal GWHDD values across the board on model guidance. However, as the chart above notes, the HDDs do generally remain higher than the week…

Dec

By Vince Bryan

12-30-22 Long Range: Final January Forecast.A.

Good Morning! Here is your Latest Long Range Report: https://youtu.be/1KssIxVHtYQ Click here for Hi-Res PDF: 123022LR Intro Slide: Temperatures: Much above average temps are favored for the E ¾ of the country for the next several days, leading to HDDs being ~70 points below the average. A system late week…

Dec

By Vince Bryan

12-27-22 Long Range: Detailing the warm start to January, mid-month cool down.V.

Good Morning! Here is your Latest Long Range Report: https://youtu.be/cvWPvW8pcj4 Click here for Hi-Res PDF: 122722LR Temperatures: The US is working out of the final leg of our cold stretch that will rather quickly turn temps to much above average by the end of the year. Weeks 1 & 2…

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-26-22 Week Ahead Outlook: Detailed analysis of early Jan warmth, mid-month pattern transition. B.

Good afternoon everyone. We hope that all of you had a Merry Christmas and are having a Happy Holiday season. Today's Week Ahead discussion will focus on a major pattern flip to close 2022 and start 2023 and our updated January thoughts. Overall, model agreement for very low demand and…

Dec

By Vince Bryan

12-23-22 Long Range: Warm week 2 on tap, latest on potential pattern flip heading into Mid-January.V.

Good Morning! Here is your Latest Long Range Report: https://youtu.be/9YspYMxKkRs Click here for Hi-Res PDF: 122322LR Temperatures: A widespread arctic blast is ongoing across the majority of the country as the long awaited strong cold front has worked through much of the US. This below average air lingers through Tuesday…