7-16-19 Long-range: A lot of ups-and-downs the next few weeks…details here. M.

7-16-19 Long-range: A lot of ups-and-downs the next few weeks…details here. M.

Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ex-ZhpxKmtA&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): Link: 7-16-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Some storms cluster risks as the ridge builds are increasing in portions of Iowa and Nebraska with rain ongoing in some areas this morning.  Heat really builds later this week with drier risks under the ridge in the Central Plains. Some northwest flow will develop as the ridge retracts early next week and brings some storm cluster risks into the Midwest and Eastern Plains.  We continue to watch for a cool-down in the pattern in week 2 related to a strongly –SOI…
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7-14-19 Weeks Ahead update: Above Normal Temps for Week 1.V.

7-14-19 Weeks Ahead update: Above Normal Temps for Week 1.V.

Good Sunday afternoon! Here is a look at your weeks ahead! Temperature Analysis: Week 1 looks to bring much above normal temps for most of the US as we see a lack of high latitude blocking that would otherwise keep things cooler in the US. The Pacific Northwest is one spot where we tend to think the temperatures can stay cooler than average. A relax in the global winds as shown via the -AAM gives us more of a La Nina feel with temperatures above normal in this timeframe for much of the US. The one risk for cooler than…
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7-12-19 Long-range: Discussing a big warm-up/drier risks ahead, increased storm cluster potential + updated weeks 3/4 & August outlooks. M.

7-12-19 Long-range: Discussing a big warm-up/drier risks ahead, increased storm cluster potential + updated weeks 3/4 & August outlooks. M.

**We absolutely encourage everyone to check out and read all of the notes slides and watch all of the video, as we poured significant research into why the 2nd half of July has evolved more with warmer / less excessively wet risks, pattern favoring larger storm clusters ahead (derechos), updated weeks 3/4 forecast into early August and our latest updated August forecast. Have a blessed weekend! -Kirk Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xJ6fLrfjlzo&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): 7-12-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Barry remains disorganized this morning but still looks to make landfall as a tropical storm or…
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7-9-19 Long-range: Updated “Barry” tropical influences ahead. Watching late July cooler risks. M.

7-9-19 Long-range: Updated “Barry” tropical influences ahead. Watching late July cooler risks. M.

Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Apcm7zdHSQ0&feature=youtu.be PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): 7-9-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Continuing to keep a very close eye on the potential development of Tropical Storm Barry in the Gulf of Mexico in the week 1 period. Where this tracks will have big impacts on sensible weather for much of the the Deep South unto the Missouri and Ohio Valley.  Not out of the question for this to tack into the aforementioned regions and lead to a heavy rain maker and also produce briefly cooler temperatures for these regions.  However, confidence remains low on the…
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7-7-19 Week Ahead Update: Impacts of the south east ridge and tropical system. Details here.V.

Good Sunday evening! Here are your latest updates for the next 2 weeks regarding precipitation and temperatures! Temperature Outlook: Week 1 looks to hold around normal temperatures in the Ohio Valley with warmer than normal conditions in the Tennessee Valley. The majority of cooler than normal weather will stay in the Western half of the country as we see the southeast ridge keeping the eastern US warm and the preceding trough in the West causing below normal temps. The Central Plains is one area where we think the temperatures could differ from the model as we are expecting closer to…
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7-2-19 Long-range: Revealing latest pattern drive research supporting wetter / cooler risks ahead…check on current solar state + impacts for July. K.

7-2-19 Long-range: Revealing latest pattern drive research supporting wetter / cooler risks ahead…check on current solar state + impacts for July. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/r7xoyOrG2eU?hd=1 PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): 7-2-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Warmth pushes east throughout the week as cooler air begins to push eastward into the Central US related to previous SOI drops and +AAM tendencies with ~July 6-8 storm date. Above normal precipitation likely for much of Ag Belt in week 1 – especially in the Northern and Western Plains.  Volatile SOI pattern shows numerous storm/front dates and cooler pattern into the second week of July. Brief SE ridge expansion between storms and then a more favorable southeast ridge setup the second half…
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6-30-19 Week Ahead Update: Warm temps + increasing precipitation chances in Week 1. A.

Good Sunday evening! Here are your latest updates for the next 2 weeks regarding precipitation and temperatures! Temperature Outlook: Week 1 looks to hold slightly warmer conditions in the Ohio Valley throughtheeastcoast, while a below average temperatures are noted throughout much of the western half of the US. Much of the Ag belt has the opportunity to see above normal temps through week 1. Week 1 also looks to be below normal in the ArkLaTex region which is consistent with a persistentsoutheastridge increasing precipitation chances in that region. Because of the persistence of this ridge and warmth in the NE,…
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6-27-19 Long-range: Extensive research unveiled today on official July thoughts + latest ENSO research / Aug – Oct forecast thoughts. K.

6-27-19 Long-range: Extensive research unveiled today on official July thoughts + latest ENSO research / Aug – Oct forecast thoughts. K.

***I wanted to make sure everyone received this long-range update / video today as we unveil some extensive research on not just the July pattern as a whole (we will issue our final July and weeks 3/4 still on Friday that you will receive)...but especially August, September and October with the intensions of this "El Nino" pattern overall continuing. Please make sure to watch the whole video, our team has put some serious research into this pattern ahead, and it's shown this year with our verifications doing very well. Have a blessed day! -Kirk Today's video: http://youtu.be/NndoLi0WnGc?hd=1 PDF Report (click…
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6-25-19 Long-range: Pattern next ~2 weeks warming & not as “excessive” w/ rainfall…discussing mid-July big pattern shift + latest August research. K.

6-25-19 Long-range: Pattern next ~2 weeks warming & not as “excessive” w/ rainfall…discussing mid-July big pattern shift + latest August research. K.

**Make sure to check out the 2 notes slides towards the bottom with latest research for July and August pattern progression thoughts. Have a blessed day! -Kirk Today's video: http://youtu.be/6HEqWiz2bvo?hd=1 PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): 6-25-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Still need to watch for some storm clusters across the Midwest the next few days – but pattern is not quite as active as previous weeks with more spots missing out on rain than most of June. Pattern for the first week of July is shaping up to be warmer in the East and Northern Plains…
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6-23-19 Week ahead update: Targeting warmth in the middle of Week 1. V.

Good Sunday evening! Here is an update for the next 2 weeks regarding temps and precip! Temperature Outlook: Week 1 looks to hold slightly warmer conditions in the Ohio Valley andNorthernPlains,whileabelowaverage look is noted throughoutmuch of the Central Plains. Much of the Ag belt has the opportunity to see above normal temps during the middle of week 1.The cooler temperatures also extend westward to encompass much of the Western US. Week 2 looks to be below normal in the ArkLaTex/CentralPlainsregions with above normal temps for much of the Western half of the US. The EPS shown in the Week 2…
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