Agriculture – Page 346

3-12-20 Long-range: Analyzing warm risks late March into April. Detailed discussion of Summer Forecast. B.

12

Mar

3-12-20 Long-range: Analyzing warm risks late March into April. Detailed discussion of Summer Forecast. B.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/k2guAaZ4zuU?hd=1 If you missed it yesterday, here is our first jump into a preliminary summer forecast + research: PDF summer report (click link below to open in HD): 2020 Summer Prelim Today's long-range PDF report (click link below to open in HD): 3-12-20 Long Range Analysis Key Points:…

11

Mar

By Vince Bryan

3-11-20 BAM Preliminary Summer Ideas.

Long-range models often times struggle in the extended range with ENSO forecasts. Based on previous research, the IOD/QBO can sometimes be used an indicators of the upcoming ENSO evolution. This year had the strongest +IOD on record and among other strong +IOD years, the ENSO state evolved into cool-neutral or…

3-11-20 Long-range: Updated April Forecasts + discussing important signals into the growing season. B.

11

Mar

By Vince Bryan

3-11-20 Long-range: Updated April Forecasts + discussing important signals into the growing season. B.

Today's video: https://youtu.be/gBRdDIcm54w PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 3-11-20 Long Range Analysis Key Points: Very warm week 1 overall especially in the Eastern US. Clearly feeling some MJO Phase 6/7 here even as the MJO weakens. With a building thermal gradient, it is clear…

3-10-20 Long-range: Keeping an eye on mid-late March severe chances. Discussing global pattern drivers and implications in the short/long term. B.

10

Mar

By Vince Bryan

3-10-20 Long-range: Keeping an eye on mid-late March severe chances. Discussing global pattern drivers and implications in the short/long term. B.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/UbkRn6yENg0?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 3-10 Long Range Analysis Key Points: Very warm week 1 overall especially in the Eastern US. Clearly feeling some MJO Phase 6/7 here even as the MJO weakens. Still some residual split flow effects, but it’s…

3-9-20 Long-range: An active pattern develops with severe weather chances. Growing season talk. B.

09

Mar

By Vince Bryan

3-9-20 Long-range: An active pattern develops with severe weather chances. Growing season talk. B.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/1tTqRUKrmHU?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 3-9 Long Range Analysis Key Points: Very warm week 1 overall especially in the Eastern US. Clearly feeling some MJO Phase 5/6 here even as the MJO weakens. Still some residual split flow effects, but it’s…

08

Mar

By Vince Bryan

3-8-20 Weeks Ahead Outlook.V.

Good Sunday Afternoon! Here is your weeks ahead forecast! Temps: Week 1 shows widespread warmth across the US thanks to a very strong - PNA, + NAO/ AO, and MJO sitting in the warmer phases (weak amplitude phases 5/6). The one cooler risk we are watching is the very end…

3-6-20 Long Range: Discussing uptick in severe weather chances and warmer pattern persisting into late March.V.

06

Mar

By Vince Bryan

3-6-20 Long Range: Discussing uptick in severe weather chances and warmer pattern persisting into late March.V.

Good Friday Morning! Below is today's video: http://youtu.be/wojRWKYFu-c?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 3-6-20 Long Range Analysis Key Points: Cooler air today gives way to widespread warmth into the weekend and early next week. No major storm systems in the cards the next 7-days…

3-5-20 Long-range: Continued discussion on warmer & drier risks for this years growing season. M.

05

Mar

By Vince Bryan

3-5-20 Long-range: Continued discussion on warmer & drier risks for this years growing season. M.

Today's video: https://youtu.be/T942DYHg5Wc PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 3-5-20 Long Range Analysis Key Points: Cooler air tomorrow gives way to widespread warmth into the weekend and early next week. No major storm systems in the cards the next 7-days but rain chances will be…

3-4-20 Long-range: Latest on lengthy warmth ahead + discussing severe weather chances mid to late month. K.

04

Mar

By Vince Bryan

3-4-20 Long-range: Latest on lengthy warmth ahead + discussing severe weather chances mid to late month. K.

***No updated video analysis today. Please reference the slides below as we did add 1 notes slide regarding severe weather potential mid to late month. Have a blessed day -Kirk PDF report (click like to the right to open in HD): 3-4-20 Long Range Analysis Key Points: Overall, once we…

3-3-20 Long-range: Discussing why this mild start to March can hang around deeper into the month. B.

03

Mar

By Vince Bryan

3-3-20 Long-range: Discussing why this mild start to March can hang around deeper into the month. B.

Today's video: https://youtu.be/ArkXvicWUVo PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 3-3-20 Long Range Analysis Key Points: Overall, once we get past some of the heavy rain in the south the next two days the pattern turns more quiet with some very warm temperatures compared to normal…